Kot so nekateri napovedovali – te vojne proti Iranu ne bo odločalo orožje ali nafta, ampak voda. Zmagal bo tisti, ki bo odločal o tem, ali in katere zalivske države bodo imele dostop do pitne vojne. Zalivske države imajo vse razloge, da se ne pridružijo vojni ZDA in Izraela proti Iranu. Ne toliko zaradi strahu pred bombardiranjem njihovih nahajališč in terminalov nafte in plina, pa zaradi strahu pred bombardiranjem njihovih ključnih obratov za razsoljevanje vode. 100 nilijonov ljudi v regiji je odvisno od dostopa do te vode in izmed 1.600 obratov je 10 mega obratov za razsoljevanje, ki so lahko strateške tarče. In ZDA so danes – spet – kot prve izpustile hudiča iz steklenice z razstrelitvijo iranskega obrata za razsoljevanje vode.

Two days ago I wrote that the most dangerous signal in this war was not what Iran was hitting but what it was not hitting. Desalination plants. Eight of the ten largest on earth sit on the Arabian Peninsula. One hundred million people drink what they produce. Iran had the coordinates and the capability. It was choosing restraint. The restraint was the weapon. And the hand that held the leash was dead.

The leash just snapped.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi posted on X on March 7 that the United States struck a freshwater desalination plant on Qeshm Island with missiles launched from its base in Bahrain. He said water supply to 30 villages was cut. His exact words: “The U.S. set this precedent, not Iran.”

That sentence is the most dangerous statement issued by any government official since this war began.

No independent verification exists. No satellite imagery. No Pentagon confirmation or denial. CNN, BBC, and Reuters report it as an Iranian accusation. The claim is unverified. That does not make it less dangerous. What matters is not whether the strike happened. What matters is that Iran has publicly framed a desalination attack as an American precedent.

Precedent is permission. Iran struck a US base in Bahrain within hours, framed as retaliation for the desalination hit. Whether the original strike was real or fabricated, the rhetorical architecture for targeting Gulf water plants is now constructed. The thirty one autonomous IRGC commands possess a publicly articulated rationale for striking desalination facilities anywhere in the Gulf.

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Lanska junijska »dvanajstdnevna vojna« je razkrila ključno slabost sistemov, ki temeljijo na ameriškem GPS-u – njihovo ranljivost za elektronsko motenje. Iran je s prehodom na uporabo kitajskega sistema BeiDou-3 dobil robustnejšo navigacijo z zaščito pred motenjem, bistveno večjo natančnostjo in celo možnostjo dvosmerne komunikacije z orožjem med letom in preusmerjanja, kar bistveno zmanjšuje učinkovitost izraelskih motilnih taktik. Posledično se tehnološko ravnotežje premika: medtem ko ZDA še vedno računajo na prevlado elektronskega bojevanja prek ameriškega GPS, pa kombinacija satelitskega nadzora prek kitajskega sistema pozicioniranja, ki ga ni mogoče motiti, in “pametnega” orožja ustvarja novo, bolj odpor­no verigo napada. Ki ga Iran v tem tednu vojne očitno učinkovito izrablja.

The June 2025 “Twelve-Day War” was a watershed moment that exposed the fatal vulnerability of GPS-reliant systems to Western electronic warfare. By pivoting to China’s BeiDou-3 (BDS-3), Iran has dismantled Israel’s traditional aerial “denial of service” strategy.

1. Hardened Signal Resilience

Unlike the civilian-grade GPS signals that were paralyzed in 2025, BDS-3’s military-tier B3A signal is essentially unjammable. It utilizes complex frequency hopping and Navigation Message Authentication (NMA), which prevents “spoofing.” Israeli jammers can no longer trick drones into false coordinates; the BDS-3 hardware simply rejects the interference, maintaining a 98% positioning success rate.

2. Surgical Accuracy

BDS-3 provides a triple-frequency architecture as standard. This allows Iranian missiles to eliminate ionospheric errors in real-time, achieving a Circular Error Probability (CEP) of under 5 meters. This transforms Iranian “area-saturation” tactics into surgical strike capabilities against hardened Israeli command nodes.

3. The “2,000 km Switch”

The most disruptive feature is the Short Message Communication (SMC). BDS-3 is not just a beacon; it is a two-way tactical data link. This allows Iranian commanders to communicate with weapons 2,000 km away in mid-flight.

• Tactical Re-tasking: If Chinese spy satellites detect a Patriot battery or an F-15E lock, a 560-bit “instruction packet” is sent via satellite to the drone.

• Logic Activation: The drone instantly activates a pre-programmed avoidance logic—switching from a standard flight path to unpredictable high-G maneuvers or sea-skimming profiles.

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Ni dobrih možnosti. Samo slabe, še slabše in nepredstavljive.

Day 8 of the Iran war and the President is cornered. Here are his only moves:

OPTION 1: Declare victory and retreat.

→ The U.S. loses the Middle East FOREVER

→ Israel’s days become numbered

→ Iran rebuilds and comes back STRONGER

→ America looks weak to every adversary on Earth

→ Trump’s legacy = another Afghanistan

OPTION 2: Boots on the ground.

→ Massive American casualties — GUARANTEED

→ Iran is the size of Alaska, 90M people, ALL mountains

→ The U.S. couldn’t beat the Taliban in 20 years with full NATO support

→ Iranian drones are shredding conventional military strategy

→ New generation of Iranian commanders are SMARTER than the ones killed

→ No exit strategy. None.

OPTION 3: Nuclear weapons.

→ The moment a nuke hits Iran — the ENTIRE world turns against America

→ Russia and China enter the chat IMMEDIATELY

→ Pakistan — Iran’s nuclear neighbor — retaliates

→ Radiation poisons the entire region INCLUDING Israel

→ M.A.D. protocol activated. Civilization at stake.

Here’s what nobody wants to say out loud:

The U.S. has the greatest air force in history. 8 days of bombing. And all they’ve achieved is political assassinations of leaders who were too arrogant to hide.

Iran’s missile launches dropped from 350 on Day 1 to 15 on Day 8 — but their drones keep coming. Their proxies keep firing. Hezbollah just CAPTURED an IDF soldier. Saudi oil fields are under attack.

The old playbook doesn’t work anymore. Drone warfare changed everything. China itself said: “You are not prepared for this.”

Trump is stuck between retreat, quagmire, and armageddon.

There is no good option. Only bad, worse, and unthinkable.

Po čem si bomo zapomnili odhajajočo vlado? Po tem, da se je v njenem mandatu gospodarska rast ohladila na le še 1.1 % v letu 2025, industrijska proizvodnja se je skrčila za 4.4 %, na lestvici konkurenčnosti IMD je Slovenija zdrsnila za 8 mest in davčni primež se je povečal. Je pa podelila veliko bonbončkov ob koncu mandata. To kaže, da fokus vlade ni bil razvoj, pač pa prerazdeljevanje.

Mandat te vlade si bomo zapomnili po  delitvi »denarja drugih« – po uvedbi obvezne božičnice, dvigu minimalne plače na tisoč evrov, povišanju plač za zaposlene v javnem sektorju za desetino, uvedbi prispevka za dolgotrajno oskrbo in znižanju oskrbnin v domovih starejših. Zapomnili si jo bomo po ponesrečeni davčni reformi, ko je namesto uvedbe davka na nepremičnine raje povišala obdavčitev dobičkov podjetij in samostojnih podjetnikov. Slednjim so se pogoji poslovanja tako zaostrili, da se je prvič po kovidni krizi število navoustanovljenih sp-jev zmanjšalo glede na leto prej, število izbrisanih sp-jev pa se je povečalo na rekordno raven. In to vlado si bomo zapomnili po verbalnem in dejanskem preganjanju podjetij v iskanje bolj ugodnih pogojev poslovanja v Hrvaški.

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Izraelsko – ameriški napad na Iran pred natanko enim tednom bo šel v zgodovino kot ena najslabše pripravljenih vojaških akcij v sodobni zgodovini. Res moraš biti genij, da se lotiš največje vojaške sile na Bližnjem vzhodu z vikend napadom, s trikrat manj aviacije, letalonosilk in bojnih ladij in šestkrat manj vojske kot v primeru napada na Irak (2003). Res moraš biti genij, da se lotiš te vojne brez da bi zapolnil izpraznjena skladišča protizračnih raket v svojih bazah in pri zaveznikih. Res moraš biti genij, da v času največjega muslimanksega praznika(Ramadan) ubiješ njihovega verskega voditelja in nato pozoveš njegove podanike naj naredijo državni udar. Res moraš biti genij, da se lotiš vojne sredi naftnega središča sveta, brez da bi prej napolnil domače strateške naftne rezerve, pri čemer ima napadena država popolno kontrolo nad logističnimi vrati (Hormuška ožina) za 20 % svetovne nafte in 30 % utekočinjenega plina, posledica česa je lahko gromozanski naftni šok. Res moraš biti genij, da štiri leta sankcioniraš uvoz ruske nafte, nato pa v enem popoldnevu odpraviš te sankcije, da bi zmanjšal velikost naftnega šoka. Res moraš biti genij, da se lotiš vojne, ki je v nobeni teoriji ne moreš zmagati.

Za kaj takšnega res moraš biti – Trump. Zelo stabilen genij.

No, izid te vojne ne bo samo najbolj boleč ameriški poraz v zgodovini, uničenje Izraela in izguba ameriškega nadzora nad Bližnjim vhodom, izid bo tudi popolna razgalitev ameriške vojaške rutine pred Kitajsko.  Kitajska s svojim satelitskim sistemom v realnem času snema vsakršno ameriško vojaško potezo, vse vojaške baze, vso namestitev in uporabo vojaške tehnike, vse premike in beleži vzorce delovanja. Za čas, ko se bo morala odzvati na neposredni ali posredni aneriški napad v njeni soseščini. Kitajska ameriške operacije v tej vojni opazuje kot realno vojaško simulacijo. Spoznava nasprotnika v popolni sliki,

The war involving the US and Israel is being monitored and recorded in real time by LEO satellite constellations such as Jilin-1, which are even capable of capturing 4K UHD video.

Today, China operates at least three LEO constellations comprising at least 300 satellites dedicated to espionage or dual-use purposes.

From the images constantly released about American bases, it is clear that the Chinese are building a true encyclopedia on U.S. naval and air doctrines.

Every ship positioning, fiend tactics, refueling time, ammunition resupply, everything is being monitored by Chinese satellites. This includes the exact location and behavior of air defenses, their mapped reaction times, missile trajectories, and reprogramming durations.

Nothing escapes the Chinese gaze. In this conflict, they have already mapped and publicly released data on multiple American bases in the region, even identifying the exact number and models of aircraft on the ground.

The war against Iran is giving the Chinese something they never had in the Ukrainian theater: the opportunity to study and document American forces in detail.

To give you an idea, in 2025 the Chinese recorded a video of Atlanta’s airport purely to demonstrate their capability.

I believe the same kind of videos are being produced daily on the American front against Iran.

Never in history has a U.S conflict been observed from the skies at this level, both tactically and strategically.

The price of the Iran war is high in many ways, as I have always said. 

And this single episode is giving the Chinese decades of planning and improvement in one go.

 

Morda se tega danes še ne zavedamo, toda v zgodovinskih učbenikih bo ta zgodovinski poraz ZDA proti Iranu označen kot zgodovinski mejnik glede vpliva ZDA na Bližnjem vzhodu in zahodni Aziji. Ta vojna, sprožena ioz objestnosti, bo pospešila konec ameriške globalne hegemonije.

We are witnessing history. Iran, to everyone’s surprise, is destroying American bases so thoroughly, on such a large scale, and so decisively that the world is not ready for this.

In 4 days, Iran has managed to expand its sphere of military dominance in the region. Iran has destroyed the most valuable and expensive military bases, property, and equipment in the entire world.

The American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are among the largest military facilities in the entire world. These facilities have cost trillions of dollars over several decades to build. We are talking about the fact that the bulk of the military spending that has been made over more than 30 years has gone up in smoke.

We see radars costing hundreds of millions of dollars each being destroyed in an instant. We see entire military bases being abandoned and burned, looted, and destroyed. And I’m telling you, as far as I know, the U.S. has never suffered such destruction in its entire history, except perhaps for Pearl Harbor, but that was just one attack.

No enemy in a conventional war has ever done this to American military forces as Iran is doing right now. It’s hard to believe. The military situation is so serious that censorship is blocking almost all new information about this war. If you’ve noticed, we’re getting less and less information every day.

Thirty-five years ago, during the first Iraqi war, we were shown endless footage from Iraq. Back then, smart bombs and cameras were a novelty, but every night we were shown night-time footage. Now we hardly see any videos at all.

Understand this! Supposedly, this is the world’s largest military power, with the world’s largest air capabilities, and on the fourth day of the U.S. offensive, supposedly and supposedly breaking through Iranian defenses, we don’t see any signs of American dominance in the Iranian sky. Where are all the video recordings of our planes flying over Tehran or any other part of Iran, for that matter?

American soldiers can’t even dream of setting foot on Iranian soil. And to understand how desperate this war is, on the fourth day you’re already hearing the most insane proposals and ideas from the Trump administration. They’re proposing sending military escorts for oil tankers leaving the Persian Gulf. What are you even talking about! You want to send American ships into the zone of destruction of thousands of Iranian missiles? NOW no one can get through the Strait of Hormuz.

The Iranians have been preparing for this for decades. They’re flaunting the idea of arming Kurdish militias to invade Iran. What the hell are you talking about? Have you seen a map of Iran!? It seems the Trump administration has never seen a map of Iran! Do you know how vast it is? What does it mean to invade Iran!? Do you think a militia of 10,000 people could invade Iran!? Or even 50,000? Or 100,000? Iran will swallow them up.

The U.S. and Israel have already lost this war. The U.S. and Israel can kill millions of civilians in their homes. They have powerful bombs and can blow up buildings, but they won’t win this war. Iran’s military infrastructure and weaponry is deep underground all over IRAN. Neither the Americans nor, especially, the Israelis have any chance of reaching any of it. They’re in deep shit.

They started something they have no chance of finishing. When this all ends, the U.S. will never return to West Asia. There will be no American presence in the Middle East. I’m telling you this now with certainty.

Vir: Alon Mizrah

After evacuating bases and hiding military personnel in hotels, which were subsequently bombed, the United States has closed its embassies in Kuwait, Bahrain, Lebanon, Jordan, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia.

The lack of planning and growing desperation are becoming increasingly evident, with rising oil and gas prices and the collapse of Asian markets.

The solution they’ve found? Escalate the bombings and drag more countries into the conflict, a measure that has so far failed to produce any success.

Increasing the bombings will not bring any victory.

The Soviets dropped more than 2 million bombs on Afghanistan and still lost the war.

The United States dropped over 7.5 million bombs on Vietnam and lost the war.

The U.S. dropped more than 200,000 tons of bombs on Afghanistan, yet the Taliban never won a single major battle, nevertheless, they advanced steadily, forcing the Americans into a desperate withdrawal. The Taliban remains in power to this day.

Studying asymmetric warfare should have been the first lesson before launching this invasion, which was so disastrously mismanaged that it didn’t even anticipate drone interceptors.

Zelo dobra zgodovinsko-biblična lekcija in razlaga za vsakogar, zakaj  gre tukaj za versko vojno cionistov proti vsem ostalim, za kaj se cionisti (Izraelci) v resnici borijo in zakaj jim kristjani pri tem tako goreče pomagajo. 

QatarEnergy je razglasil “višjo silo”, torej da začasno ne more izpolnjevati pogodbenih obveznosti zaradi izrednih okoliščin, ki jih ne more nadzorovati. To je pravni institut, ki omogoča podjetju, da začasno prekine dobavo ali izpolnjevanje pogodbe in da ne nosi pogodbenih kazni, dokler trajajo nepredvidljive okoliščine. To v praksi pomeni, da dokler traja vojna v regiji in zaprtje Hormuške ožine, katarska družba ne more začeti z utekočinjanjem plina in nato še 4 tedne, preden lahko začne dobavljati plin na svojem terminalu. Glede nato, da je QatarEnergy največji dobavitelj plina v Aziji, to pomeni energetsko krizo za večino Azije. No, za Rusijo oziroma za ruski utekočinjeni plin je to seveda odlična novica.

QatarEnergy just declared Force Majeure.

Three words that mean: we cannot deliver, and legally, we do not have to.

This is no longer a supply disruption. This is a contract collapse.

Force Majeure is not a precaution. It is a formal legal declaration that an unforeseeable event beyond QatarEnergy’s control has made fulfillment impossible. Every affected buyer just had their contract voided. The gas they were counting on is gone, and they have no legal recourse to get it back.

82% of Qatar’s LNG goes to Asia.

China relies on Qatar for 30% of its LNG imports. India 42 to 52%. South Korea 14 to 19%. Taiwan 25%. Japan is already rationing to spot markets.

Asian benchmark prices jumped 39% the day production stopped.

Force Majeure just made that permanent until further notice.

Indian companies have already cut gas supplies to industry by 10 to 30%. That is not a market adjustment. That is factories running at reduced capacity today, across the world’s most populous continent, because Iran sent drones into Ras Laffan.

Here is the number the market still has not fully absorbed.

Two weeks to restart a liquefaction train after a full cold shutdown. Then two more weeks to reach full capacity. That is a minimum of four weeks at zero, assuming no further strikes, no security complications, no inspection delays.

The war is still running.

There is no security guarantee. There is no restart timeline. There is no floor.

Every LNG contract in Asia just became a spot market problem. Every spot market problem just became an inflation problem. Every inflation problem just became a central bank problem.

This started as a war in the Middle East.

It is now inside every factory, every power plant, and every gas bill across Asia.