Time je objavil članek Anatola Lievena “Ukraine Can’t Win the War“, katerega poanta je zapisana v zgornjem naslovu. Ključno je zavedanje, kaj Ukrajina izgubi, če “pristane na mir” (članstvo v Natu in zasedena ozemlja) in kaj izgubi, če še leta nadaljuje vojno, ki je ne more zmagati (totalni poraz in uničenje vsakršne perspektive). Lieven:
Članstvo v Natu je nesmiselno, če zavezništvo ni pripravljeno poslati svojih vojakov v Ukrajino v boj proti Rusiji. Predvsem pa, ne glede na to, kako boleč bi bil mirovni sporazum danes, bo neskončno bolj boleč, če se bo vojna nadaljevala in bo Ukrajina poražena.
Nekaj odstavkov, ki se jih splača prebrati:
The long-awaited counteroffensive last year failed. Russia has recaptured Avdiivka, its biggest war gain in nine months. President Volodymyr Zelensky has been forced to quietly acknowledge the new military reality. The Biden Administration’s strategy is now to sustain Ukrainian defense until after the U.S. presidential elections, in the hope of wearing down Russian forces in a long war of attrition.
This strategy seems sensible enough, but contains one crucially important implication and one potentially disastrous flaw, which are not yet being seriously addressed in public debates in the West or Ukraine. The implication of Ukraine standing indefinitely on the defensive—even if it does so successfully—is that the territories currently occupied by Russia are lost. Russia will never agree at the negotiating table to surrender land that it has managed to hold on the battlefield.
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