Mario Draghi pravi: “Kjer se je Evropa združila – na področju trgovine, konkurence, enotnega trga in monetarne politike – smo spoštovani kot sila in se pogajamo kot eno.”

Resnica je nasprotna: 

• EU je bila uspešna (primerjalno glede na druge regije), ko je bila samo EGS – samo carinska unija s skupnim trgom in nekaj koordinacije monetarne politike. Ko se je integracija “poglobila” v Enotni trg (1993) s skupnimi politikami na področju konkurence, državnih pomoči, energetike, migracij itd. in v monetarno unijo z evrom (1999) ter nato s Fiskalnim paktom (2011), se je začela njena stagnacija in njeno zaostajanje za ostalimi. Kajti federalizacija prek skupnih politik je omejila fleksibilnost ekonomskih in drugih politik držav članic in zadušila rast.
• Evro tudi ni pripomogel k obljubljeni konvergenci (gospodarskemu približevanju) med članicami, pač pa je povzročil divergenco med državami z evrom (IMF, 2018). Hkrati pa države brez evra rastejo hitreje kot države z evrom.
• In geopolitični položaj EU v svetu se je do danes zaradi njenega gospodarskega zatona, povzročenega z deindustrializacijo kot posledico njenih napačnih skupnih politik in zadušitve razvoja, dramatično poslabšal. Ne zaradi pomanjkanja federacije, pač pa zaradi preveč fedracije, ki duši razvoj posameznih članic.
• Še večja federalizacija EU bo povsem zadušila rast v članicah, ker bo vzela še tisto malo fleksibilnosti v proračunu za spodbujanje domače rasti.
• In federalizacija bo efekrtivno ubila demokracijo v Evropi. Kajti o razvojnih politikah in vseh ključnih zadevah glede razvoja ne bodo več odločali volilci v posameznih članicah, pač pa tehnokratska elita v Bruslju. Namesto volilcev bodo odločale plagiatorke tipa Ursula, Roberta & Kaja, ki so dosedaj zafurale vse, česar so se v svoji “karieri” lotile. 

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Former Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi calls for the federalization of Europe:

Grouping together small countries does not automatically produce a powerful bloc. This is the logic of confederation—the logic by which Europe still operates in defense, foreign policy, and fiscal matters. This model does not produce power.

A group of states that merely coordinates remains a group of states: each with a veto, each with its own calculus, each vulnerable to being picked off one by one.

Power requires Europe to move from confederation to federation. Where Europe has federated—on trade, competition, the single market, and monetary policy—we are respected as a power and negotiate as one.

Where we have not—on defense, industrial policy, and foreign affairs—we are treated as a loose assembly of middle-sized states, to be divided and dealt with accordingly.

A Europe unified on trade but fragmented on defense will find its commercial power leveraged against its security dependence.

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Pazite – ne rusko, ne ameriško, pač pa vmešavnje Evropske komisije (prek cenzure medijev in podpore “pravim” kandidatom) v volitve posameznih članic. V 6 državah na 8 volitvah.

In Digital Services Act zdaj to vmešavanje povsem legalizira. V kakšen monstrum se je razvila ta EU!

The weekend has passed without a U.S. attack on Iran.

Trump would have probably liked to strike if there had been a decent chance of a short, successful war. But there was and is none. Iran would retaliate sharply for any attack and set the region on fire.

A early sharp strike would have been Trump’s best chance of success. The longer he is deterred from a strike the smaller the likelihood that any attack will occur at all.

Trump now needs to find a way to chicken out from his grandiose threats to Iran. He has sent out feelers for negotiations:

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On 29 January 2026, I was on the “Deep Dive” with Lt. Col. (ret.) Danny Davis. We had an excellent discussion on what President Trump’s options are in a war against Iran. We both agreed that he has no good military option at this point or for the foreseeable future, which is not to say Trump will not attack. But all the evidence indicates that he would be foolish to do so. Indeed, it is quite clear that the Israelis, who asked him not to attack on January 14th, when he appeared ready to do so, still have reservations about the wisdom of an attack.

It is worth noting that the Israelis launched major attacks by themselves against Iran on 19 April 2024 and 26 October 2024. They then launched major attacks with the United States against Iran during the 12-day war in June 2025. Today, Israel is apparently planning to sit on the sidelines while the US attacks Iran by itself.

What is going on? Netanyahu tried hard to drag the Biden administration into attacking Iran with Israel in 2024, but failed. Biden and his lieutenants understood that a war with Iran was not in the American national interest. Netanyahu succeeded, however, in getting Trump to join forces with Israel and attack Iran in June 2025. Now he has helped maneuver Trump into contemplating a US-only war against Iran, although it appears that the Israelis are getting cold feet. Someone is being played for a sucker.

Below is the segment of the show dealing with a possible attack on Iran.

Razprave o morebitnem ameriško-izraelskem napadu na Iran se pogosto začnejo in končajo pri vojaški tehnologiji. Koliko letal, koliko raket, koliko prestreznikov. Ta perspektiva je zavajajoča. Ne zato, ker bi bila napačna, temveč zato, ker zgreši bistvo sodobnih konfliktov: zmaga ni več funkcija ognjene moči, temveč funkcija vzdržljivosti, stroškov in politične ekonomije konflikta.

Če pogledamo suha dejstva, je razmerje vojaških zmogljivosti jasno. Združene države in Izrael imajo popolno prevlado v zraku, satelitsko izvidovanje, natančno vodenje ognja in večslojno protiraketno obrambo. Iran na drugi strani nima primerljive zračne sile, ima pa nekaj drugega: veliko količino razmeroma poceni napadalnega orožja – balistične in križarske rakete ter brezpilotne letalnike – in doktrino, ki je zgrajena okoli množičnosti in izčrpavanja.

Tu se začne problem za napadalce. Obrambni sistemi, kot so Železna kupola, Davidova frača in Arrow, delujejo. A delujejo po ceni, ki je ekonomsko nevzdržna v daljšem časovnem obdobju. Prestrezna raketa stane od več deset tisoč do več milijonov evrov. Dron ali enostavna raketa, ki jo prestreza, pa pogosto nekaj tisočkrat manj. To ni tehnični, ampak ekonomski problem.

Če bi Iran izvedel enkraten, omejen povračilni napad, bi ga obramba absorbirala. Če pa bi sledila serija napadov, raztegnjena čez več tednov, bi v ospredje stopile omejitve, o katerih vojaški načrtovalci neradi govorijo: zaloge prestreznikov, proizvodni roki, vzdrževanje sistemov in človeški faktor. ZDA lahko proizvajajo orožje, vendar ne v realnem času. Zaloge pa niso neskončne, še posebej v razmerah, ko so že obremenjene zaradi drugih kriz.

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To so res neverjetne razlike v učinkovitosti med človeško in umetno inteligenco: za enako kognitivno aktivnost človeški možgani porabijo 12 W energije (kot varčna žarnica v eni uri), umetna inteligenca pa 2.7 GW oziroma 225 milijonkrat več energije.

Dokaz, kako učinkovita je bila evolucija glede razvoja energetsko varčnega biološkega računalnika v naših glavah.

Your brain is running on just 12 watts right now while processing this sentence. An AI system would need 2.7 billion watts to do the same thing.

That’s not a typo. The human brain operates on roughly the same amount of power as a dim light bulb, yet it can recognize faces, solve complex problems, create art, and experience emotions simultaneously. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence systems require massive data centers consuming enough electricity to power entire cities just to simulate a fraction of what your brain does effortlessly.

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Dva vrhunska koščka satire.

Prvi akt: Evropski tehnološki bum – startup, ki mu je v šestih letih uspelo priti na 112 tisoč EUR prihodka

Drugi akt: Evropska komisija naj bi zaštartala iniciativo za lastno evropsko socialno omrežje, ki naj bi nadomestilo Muskov X. No, če bi, bi to omrežje moralo zadovoljiti le nekaj drobnih regulatornih zahtev:

The EU is launching a European alternative to Twitter / X

As one of the most successful European founders, I was personally consulted on the strategic direction

What to expect:

1. Every account must be verified in person, with notarized documents
2. All engagement metrics are hidden to protect mental health
3. Posts mentioning other users require that user’s written consent, certified by a public notary
4. The platform will be coded without AI assistance
5. Any developer caught using ChatGPT faces up to 18 months in prison
6. Projected user base by 2031: 1,200 monthly active users

X is completely cooked, I cannot imagine how Elon Musk must feel now