Slika likvidnostne pasti v ZDA

Tako izgleda likvidnostna past (zero lower bound) v ZDA:

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In normal times, the central bank can offset fiscal contraction by cutting interest rates. Since late 2008, however, the interest rates the Fed can control have been limited by the zero lower bound. This means that there is no offset to the negative effects of fiscal consolidation — which means that this is not the time to be doing such consolidation, which should wait until we emerge from this condition.

This isn’t complicated, and it isn’t new — it’s what we’ve been saying for almost 5 years. There are arguments one can make on the other side, although the two main ones — expansionary austerity and the supposed existence of a red line on debt at 90 percent of GDP — have imploded.

Vir: Paul Krugman, New York Times

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