Bernie ali Hillary?

Se strinjam z Markom Thomo – Bernie Sanders bi lahko naredil več za socialno demokracijo v ZDA od pragmatičnega inkrementalizma Hillary Clinton, ki je na plačilni listi Wall Streeta. Toda Sanders je neizvoljiv.

Hmm, mar res? Iowa je pokazala, da je tekma zelo izenačena. Debata v New Hampshireu pa tudi kaže na naraščajočo konkurenčnost Sandersa.

I am very much in favor of social democracy – to varying degrees, all developed economies have some elements that fit under this definition – and I think we should move even further in that direction. Under my particular version of this system, government would intervene in the economy for three main reasons, to correct the inherent inequities associated with the booms and busts that characterize capitalist economies, to correct market failures that move us away from the competitive markets needed for capitalism to function best (monopoly power, externalities, asymmetric information, political influence over regulations, and so on), and to correct inequities in the opportunity for success as well as inequities in the outcomes an imperfect market system produces.

The question for me is which candidate is most likely to be able move us in that direction, and least likely to open the door to a Republican who would work to reverse the important gains that we have made in the past. For me, that candidate is Hillary Clinton. I am very pleased that Bernie Sanders is pushing her toward these types of policies with full force, that is very important, and I very much agree with the policies he is promoting (for the most part). But I worry that he is unelectable in the general election, in part because he hasn’t defined what he means by “socialism” very well and he is vulnerable on that point. Eight years of Trump or Cruz, or any of the other Republican candidates, combined with Republican control of the House and Senate would be a disaster for social democracy.

The upside of both candidates is similar. Both Clinton and Sanders would work to expand social insurance and correct inequities, but neither would be able to do much more than implement incremental change, if they can do even that given the political realities they will face. I do, however, think Clinton is likely to be more effective at taking advantage of possible ways to move the agenda forward. Importantly, both would protect the programs that are already in place. But the downside is very different. Convince me that Bernie’s electable – and that the risk of a Republican winning is similar to what it would be if Hillary becomes the candidate – and I’ll change my mind.

Vir: Mark Thoma, The Fiscal Times

One response

  1. Na žalost so tisti, ki jih vsebina Moorovega filma najbolj zadeva, to je nižji, delavski sloj Amerike (npr. Wallmartovi sužnji), tako obremenjeni z borbo za preživetjem, da ob 2-3 hkratnih zanikrnih službah nimajo ne časa ne energije, da bi sploh razmislili o situaciji v kateri se nahajajo – kaj šele, da bi organizirano artikulirali svoje zahteve. Bernie Sanders po mojem prepričanju nima šans. Današnja politika (globalno) nima prav nobene zveze z volilno bazo, tu gre zgolj za privid naivnežev, anestetiziranih z resničnostnimi showi in ligo prvakov. Delavski razred je dandanes v globoki komi, nezadovoljni zaposleni pa za lasten neuspeh in brezizhodnost krivijo predvsem sebe in lastno nesposobnost, ne pa družbenih razmer na katere žal nimajo nobenega vpliva. Genialno.

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