Zanimiva analiza spodaj glede tega, koliko časa lahko zdrži izraelska protizračna obramba, preden bo – kljub polni pomoči ZDA, Britanije in Francije – ostala brez prestreznih raket. Vendar pa ta analiza ne upošteva (1) aktivne vključitve ZDA v vojno z masovnim obstreljevanjem iranskih lansirnih kapacitet in (2) nuklearne opcije, ki jo bo Izrael v neki fazi uporabil proti Iranu (Izrael naj bi imel med 200 in 500 jedrskih konic). Na drugi strani pa seveda ni upoštevan odgovor Irana (ki zelo verjetno že ima razvite jedrske konice in ki sploh še ni uporabil svojih najbolj razvitih hipersoničnih raket) in napovedi Pakistana, da bo v primeru izraelskega jedrskega napada na Iran uporabil svoje jedrsko orožje proti Izraelu.

Kam smo prišli, po tem, ko je nekaj norcev začelo uresničevati svoje blodnje!

One of the most crucial elements of this war, and I don’t think it’s being discussed even remotely enough, is the question of munitions.

You see, to launch this war the way it did, and defend against Iranian missiles, Israel has had to make extensive, intensive use of the most costly and rare types of munitions currently in use by any Western military: first, the THAAD and Arrow 3 interceptors, and, second, the kind of air-to-ground missiles that you shot from many hundreds of kilometers away, if not thousands.

Both these kinds of weapons systems are extremely expensive to produce and also quite scarce. An Israeli source I’ve seen said that even the US doesn’t produce more than a few hundred ultra-sophisticated interceptors a year. Even if Israel is capable of producing a couple of hundred more itself, Israel cannot reasonably have more than 2000-3000 interceptors of this kind on site and ready for use, or in stock. These are huge missiles costing millions of dollars apiece.

The cutting-edge standoff missiles Israel is using, for instance, America’s AGM-158B, have only been procured in relatively small numbers: around 3000 of those have been produced for the US military so far.

Given an estimated stockpile of 3000 air-to-ground missiles and 3000 interceptors (both generous estimates), Israel may run out of suitable munitions in 10 days. With the Brits and French sending in everything they can spare, and the US resupplying Israel to the best of its ability, I would give Israel no more than 5-10 additional days tops with current use patterns.

Then it will have to start using infinitely inferior alternatives, to the extent that it even has enough of those (Israel always runs out of munitions within weeks, even when fighting Hezbollah and Hamas). 

Iran, on the other hand, is most likely throwing first some of its older models to deplete Israel’s interceptors. Once those begin to erode, with maybe a few batteries hit, then they can pull out their biggest, baddest weapons like the Khorramshahr-4, with a 1,500 kg warhead. For comparison, the destruction we’ve seen in Israel so far is the result of warheads 1/3 of this weight. We’re talking entire city blocks or military bases evaporating in milliseconds.

In about 1 week, Israel is already going to be in acute distress.

Vir: Alon Mizrahi

Nestanovitni viri OVE so z zelenimi nameni tlakovana pot v samouničenje. To je nekaj, česar zeleni marksisti in navdahnjeni trgovci z elektriko ne želijo pokazati. In to je tisto, kar ubija konkurenčnost gospodarstva, vodi v deindustrializacijo, vodi v večjo energetsko revščino in manjšo blaginjo prebivalstva.

Nestanovitni OVE viri niso (samo) padajoče cene solarnih panelov in vetrnic (ponazorjene z LCOE). Nestanovitni OVE viri so povečani izdatki za prenosno in distribucijsko omrežje (in s tem omrežnine). Nestanovitni OVE viri so povečani izdatki za regulacijo elektroenergetskega sistema in zakup rezerv. Nestanovitni OVE viri so povečani izdatki za dnevne izravnave med proizvodnjo in porabo elektrike (črpalne HE, baterije, plinske elektrarne). Nestanovitni OVE viri so povečani izdatki za sezonske izravnave med proizvodnjo in porabo elektrike (plinske in premogovne elektrarne, zakup in uvoz elektrike). Nestanovitni OVE viri so višje veleprodajne cene elektrike na trgu (za peakload, pa tudi baseload). Nestanovitni OVE viri so višji izdatki za subvencije OVE in SPTE (kogeneracija elektrike iz biomase) virom. Nestanovitni OVE viri so izdatki za CO2 kupone, ki ob ceni elektrike najbolj ubijajo industrijo.

Slika 1: Podatki za vse države (OWiD)

Slika 2: Podatki za EU države (Eurostat)

Tako temu rečejo cionisti. Pred vsako vojno, ki jo inicirajo prek svojih ameriških podizvajalcev ali ki jo sami začnejo ob asistenci ameriških podizvajalcev.

Donald Trump bo, tako kot njegovi predhodniki, naredil vse, kar mu naročijo njegovi lastniki, cionistični lastniki Amerike.  Med najglasnješimi je ga. Adelson, lastnica Dallas Maverics, ženska, ki je prodala Luko Dončića. Vsem je jasno, da te cionistične vojne Amerika ne more zmagati, toda kljub temu bo na ukaz lastnikov porušila velik del Irana in pobila tudi milijon ali več ljudi, če bo treba. Kot je v Iraku. Tudi uporaba jedrskega orožja ni izključena. Ker je morilski apetit cionistov neomejen.

A gigantic US Air Force deployment is currently underway, with over 20 aerial refueling tankers moving across the ocean, along with many more military assets as Netanyahu pushes Trump to join Israel’s war on Iran.

I am certain that Trump does not want the US directly engaged in the war, that he fantasizes about winning a Nobel Prize by ending it, and that in any case, he is too mentally lazy to manage such a conflict.

It is also clear that his base has no desire to fight any  neocon war of choice for Israel. America First influencers like Tucker Carlson and MTG are now escalating their opposition because they know that it will sabotage what’s left of Trump’s domestic agenda.

But there may be little they can do. The fact is that Trump is bought and bossed by the Zionist billionaire class. And after two assassination attempts, he is reluctant to defy a mob boss like Miriam Adelson or the malevolent forces she represents.

Indeed, Trump trembles before the Israeli assets in his camp. He’s like a deer in the headlights of a Merkava tank. And he is not only weak, but delusional enough to believe he can change the subject to immigration or some other culture war fixation after acceding to Netanyahu’s maniacal demands.

Which means that in the next 48 hours, Trump could greenlight a psychotic regime change war that no country in the world other than Israel wants, which will multiply the human misery of the region one hundred fold, tank the global economy, place a target on American backs, and ensure him a place among history’s greatest losers.

Vir: Max Blumenthal

There are three immediate questions to answer about the war that Israel has started with Iran, all of which lead to the most important of all: Can this achieve Israel’s stated goal of ensuring, once and for all, that Iran never gets a nuclear weapon?

If it can, then Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s decision to launch Israeli jets against a much larger nation of close to 90 million people would, depending on the nature of the targets struck and level of civilian casualties, be justified on both strategic and moral grounds.

The destruction of Israel is a declared policy of the regime in Tehran and one it’s been acting on for decades. There’s no doubt, despite denials, that Iran’s uranium enrichment program is designed to produce weapons-grade fuel; it’s practically there, with a growing stockpile concentrated to 60%, a level far beyond any conceivable civilian use. So, even though Israel has a nuclear deterrent of its own, as a tiny “one-bomb” country it can’t take the risk of allowing such a hostile power to also have one.

But whether the air strikes can indeed succeed is a very big “if.” It’s more likely that Israel can do no more than delay Iran’s nuclear program by a few years. And if that’s the case, it becomes impossible to justify the certain bloodshed and unknowable consequences of starting this war, because it would at best gain no more than the diplomacy it displaced. Both the abandoned 2015 international nuclear deal with Iran and any agreement that might realistically have come out of US-Iranian talks that were due to resume on Sunday would do as much — only without loss of life, or the risk to regional stability and global markets.

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Fascinantno dober primer, kako ameriško kapitulacijo pred Kitajsko prikazati kot ameriško zmago. No, v bistvu kot skupno zmago, kajti sicer bi si Xi morda lahko premislil. Kajti on drži vse adute v svojih rokah. Preberite Lutnickovo izjavo. Res fascinanten PR.

Jeffrey Sachs je spet odličen. Tako dobre analize vzrokov za rusofobijo ne boste našli nikjer. Je celo boljša of Mearsheimerja. Nujno poslušanje!

“Prijatelji Ukrajine” so tisti, ki uničujejo Ukrajino. “Prijatelji Ukrajine” so tisti, ki spodbujajo nadaljevanje vojne. “Prijatelji Ukrajine” so tisti, ki želijio na fronto poslati še več mladih fantov. Zakaj?

Odgovor nima nobene zveze z Ukrajino. Ukrajina je za njene “prijatelje” irelevantna. Odgovor se skriva v želji po oslabitvi Rusije. Zakaj? Ker je Rusija velika. Ker bi potencialno lahko ogrožala dominantni položaj ZDA. Ker je pred stoletjem in pol potencialno lahko ogrožala dominantni položaj