https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/1971867445456437662?t=r3Jqop5rIlxs2q5pieSLXw&s=09

Ta kitajska učinkovitost je res fenomenalna. Se spomnite izpred dveh tednov, ko po obisku kitajskega zunanjega ministra v Varšavi ni  bilo skupne tiskovne konference, ker poljski (pro-ameriški) zunanji minister ni pristal na odprje železniške proge z Belorusijo (po kateri vozijo kitajski vlaki del svojega blaga v Evropo)? No, teden dni kasneje je zadeva rešena, poljski predsednik vlade je oznanil ponovno odprtje meje.

China speed of resolving threats in 2 weeks

9/11 Poland blocked China-Europe Railway Express to force China to stop supporting Russia

9/15 China FM Wang Yi held talks with Poland Deputy PM and FM

9/22 China has a vessel leaving Ningbo for Britain (18 days only) in a new Artic sea route; threatening to bypass Poland for all future China EU trade

9/23 Polish PM Tusk announced the reopening of border on 9/25

9/25 Poland reopened the border and China-Europe Railway Express began to resume

Poland’s blackmail will be well remembered by Chinese companies and people after China has been supportive of Poland all these years

Nemška deindustrializacija je v polnem teku. Letos naj bi nemška avtomobilska in dobaviteljska podjetja odpustila 125 tisoč zaposlenih, do leta 2030 še vsaj 100 tisoč. V ostalih panogah je podobno. Najbolj akutno stanje pa je v energetsko intenzivnih panogah (6 industrij materialov) in avtomobilski industriji.

Zahodna propaganda je brezsramna v svoji propagandi vojni. The Economist in ostali poslovni mediji KItajski že 35 let napovedujejo gospodarski kolaps. Ampak zdaj pa zares, zdaj pa je uradno… Poglejte spodnji spisek naslovov člankov:

No, in potem The Economist  v enem letu objavi članek, da Kitajska glede visokih tehnologij ne more prehiteti Amerike, čez eno leto pa straši, da je tehnološko in tudi pri umetni inteligenci že prehitela Ameriko. Leto za letom objavlja članke o kitajskem kolapsu, nato pa objavi v zadnji številki članek, da ima Kitajska načrt za globalno dominacijo in da je Amerika pri tem ne (z)more zaustaviti.

Itak, da Kitajska tak načrt ima. Vsakih 5 let ga kalibrira. In itak bo pri tem uspela. Ker ima strategije, ker ima politično vodstvo z neomejenim časovnim horizontom, ker to vodstvo vse razvojne resurse usmerja v skladu z usmeritvami iz strategije in ker ima na drugi strani države brez razvojnih strategij in s političnimi vodstvi brez izkušenj in brez vizije, razen glede tega, kako se obdržati 4 leta na oblasti in ker ta vodstva ukvarjajo s svojim preživetjem, zasebnimi zaslužki in s petty zadevami (kot je CO2 in Ukrajina) in ker seveda ne znajo mobilizirati resursov.

Če me kaj iritira, je to slaba in pristranska analiza in iz nje izhajajoča propaganda. Prvo žali moj intelekt, drugo se mi gnusi. Zakaj hudiča bi kdaj še resno bral Economista in podobna trobila, če pa se njihova propagandna usmeritev vidi iz vesolja. Spodnji članek za spremembo izhaja iz bolj realne ocene (čeprav v nasprotju s podatki Svetovne banke še vedno trdi, da je kitajski delež v svetovnem BDP samo eno petino in ne eno tretjino), da pa bi na tej osnovi iniciral strah in mobiliziral zahodne politike, da naj že kaj naredijo, da bi zaustavili kitajski vzpon.

Toolittle, too late. Ob takšni politični kliki na zahodu in ob takšni medijski podpori bomo čez nekaj let v osnovno šolo kot drugi jezik morali uvesti kitajščino. Morda že prej.

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Vidim, da vsi, ki uporabljajo možgane za razmišljanje, glede Trumpove včerajšnje izjave razmišljajo enako, kot sem pisal zjutraj. Da si je Trump (z veliko dozo sarkazma) glede Ukrajine umil roke in se umaknil iz ukrajinske vojne ter ponudil EU in Ukrajini, da jima sicer lahko prodaja orožje, če se želita bojevati v Ukrajini ali celo napasti Rusijo. Obema je zaželel veliko sreče.

John Mearsheimer:

On 24 September 2025, I was on the “Deep Dive” with Lt. Col. (ret.) Danny Davis talking mainly about Donald Trump’s remarkable comments about the Ukraine war in a Truth Social post.

Shockingly, he said that Ukraine could not only win the war, but it could take back all the territory it has lost to Russia and “who knows, maybe even go further than that!” On to Moscow!

Of course, this is sheer nonsense for anyone who follows events on the battlefield. Ukraine is losing the war and there is no way for Ukraine and the West to rescue the situation. Unsurprisingly, Trump said nothing about how Ukraine can stem the tide, much less defeat Russia, because there is no magic formula. Ukraine is doomed.

Trump also said that Russia is not a “Real Military Power,” but is instead a “paper tiger” that “has been fighting aimlessly for three and a half years.” Well, if it is a floundering paper tiger, why have Ukraine, Europe, and the United States been unable to defeat Russia?

However, all of this is just Trump bloviating. The important message in his post is that the he is turning the Ukraine war over to Europe and the Ukrainians and distancing the United States from the conflict. Consider these words: “I think Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is in a position to fight and WIN all of Ukraine back in its original form.” Note that he doesn’t mention the United States.

Of course. he will continue to supply weapons to NATO — meaning the Europeans — who will pay for them and are free to do with them in Ukraine as they see fit. He writes: “We will continue to supply weapons to NATO for NATO to do what they want with them. Good luck to all!” Those last four words neatly capture Trump’s intention of putting Ukraine in the rear view mirror.

I might also add that there is no mention of sanctions, which many in Ukraine and the West see as a war-winning weapon. And which Trump has embraced in days gone by.

Trump, in essence, is doing everything he can to wash his hands of Ukraine. Whether he ultimately succeeds is another matter, as the pressure on him to do something will surely grow as Ukraine’s fortunes on the battlefield continue to go south. Those are likely to be dangerous days.

Zelenski sarkazma očitno ni razumel:

V Telegraphu ga očitno so:

Čakamo še na navdušeni odziv Ursule & Kaje ter evropskih voditeljev, da bodo lahko v bodoče – končno ! – sami bojevali vojno v Ukrajini in da bodo lahko družno tudi napadli Rusijo z orožjem, ki jim ga bo prodajal Trump.

Kajti do zdaj za kaj takšnega niso imeli ne dovolj lastnega in ne dovolj (zastonj) ameriškega orožja in niso imeli vojakov, tankov in letal, ki bi jih lahko poslali v Ukrajino ali nad Rusijo. Zdaj pa bo! Hey ho, let’s go!

Izvrsten komentar Thomasa Fazija:

“It is time to turn off the tap,” announced European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen last week, in her 19th attempt to apply pressure on Russia. The latest proposed package of sanctions includes a ban on imports of Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) from January 2027 — one year earlier than previously planned — and extends sanctions to refineries and oil traders in third countries, such as China and Russia, accused of helping Russia circumvent sanctions.

…

The justification, once again, is that sanctions will force Russia to end the war on the West’s terms. The reality is that 18 packages of sanctions have failed to achieve this goal, and the 19th will fare no better. What it will do, however, is deepen Europe’s dependence on the United States.

Indeed, the timing of the new sanctions package was not coincidental. Just days earlier, Donald Trump issued an ultimatum to Nato allies. The US, he declared, would only impose “major” new sanctions on Russia once Europeans had agreed to stop buying Russian oil. He went further, suggesting Nato impose 50-100% tariffs on China and India, both of which he accused of circumventing sanctions. He insisted such measures would weaken Russia’s “strong control” over its partners. Trump even claimed that halting Russian energy imports, combined with heavy tariffs on China, would be “of great help” in ending the conflict.

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Tale včerajšnji Trumpov tvit je zabavna aplikacija sarkazma. Večina ljudi ga sicer najbrž jemlje “at face value”, ker pač “Trump je nor”. V resnici pa gre za izvrsten sarkazem. Zelenskemu in evropskim politikom, ki romajo k njemu po pomoč, zagotavljajoč veliko zmago, je preprosto rekel, karikiram:

“Super, če mislite, da lahko zmagate vojno v Ukrajini, pojdite in naredite to. Mi vam bomo prodali orožja, kolikor ga boste želeli. Morda lahko Ulrajina po osvojitvi zasedenih ozemelj in Krima, zavzame še del Rusije. Ki je itak v velikih gospodarskih težavah, ljudje niti bencina ne morejo dobiti.”

Še prej pa jim je rekel v stilu:

“Kaj jamrate? Če ruska letala kršijo vaš zračni prostor, jih sestrelite.”

Seveda ni dodal pristavka: “…če si upate“.

Zdaj seveda čakamo, kako se bodo EU države (brez ameriške koordinacije) same vojaško koordinirale v skupnem boju proti Rusiji na ukrajinskem ozemlju in kako bodo nato skupaj napadle še Rusijo. Good luck. Rusija je znana po tem, da vse vojne izgubi. Od vključno Napoleona naprej.