Ameriške vojaške zaščite zalivskih držav in transporta nafte in plina ni več

Ameriške vojaške baze so uničene

The New York Times — not a Telegram channel, not a Russian state broadcaster, the New York Times — has published satellite imagery confirming what Iran said it was doing while Washington was busy telling you it wasn’t working. Every major US base across the Gulf. Systematically and methodically.

Bahrain, Fifth Fleet headquarters, the nerve centre of American naval power in the region. Al Udeid Qatar — already missing its $1.1 billion AN/TPY-2 radar. Camp Arifjan Kuwait. Ali Al Salem. Prince Sultan in Saudi Arabia. UAE facilities. SATCOM terminals destroyed. Radomes cracked open. Satellite dishes gone. Missile tracking infrastructure — the AN/TPY-2 radar systems that coordinate every Patriot and THAAD battery in theater — targeted with what the imagery confirms was not luck but architecture.

Iran didn’t just strike US bases. It mapped the communication and coordination layer that makes American missile defense function as a unified system and then it peeled it apart, base by base, across five countries simultaneously.

This is not retaliation but doctrine. Thirty years of studying exactly how the American military machine sees, communicates, and coordinates and then, when the moment came, going straight for the eyes. The interceptors are blind. The magazines are depleted. The Navy can’t guarantee escorts in the Strait. Raytheon is being summoned to emergency meetings. South Korea is sitting exposed. And the New York Times just put the satellite pictures on the front page.

Washington built the most expensive military architecture in human history. Iran just showed you the blueprint for how to dismantle it. This is not going according to plan.

ZDA ne morejo zagotoviti spremstva tankerjem

ran just destroyed the AN/FPS-132 radar at Al Udeid with a single missile. One missile.

That radar was not just a target. It was the nervous system of every Patriot battery, every THAAD launcher, every layered air defense architecture the United States has spent four decades and several trillion dollars constructing across the Gulf. Every interceptor in theater just went partially blind. The backbone of American missile defense in the most fortified US base in the Middle East — taken out by a single Iranian strike while they were busy stripping South Korea’s defenses, summoning Raytheon to the White House, and requesting $50 billion in emergency funds to restock magazines that were already hollow before this war began. The Air Defense shortage is worse than most imagined.

Qatar claims to have intercepted 101 missiles during this conflict (likely inflated). Qatar claims two got through. One hit the only target that mattered. That is asymmetric warfare distilled to its purest form. Iran has to succeed once. The United States has to be perfect every time. And of course they weren’t.

And now the US Navy — the force Trump promised would escort Gulf shipping through the Strait — has announced it cannot provide escorts in the Strait of Hormuz. No escorts. No timeline. But even if they do they’re sitting ducks for Iran’s coastal defence forces, no Iranian Navy presence required. The petrodollar runs through a chokepoint the United States can no longer credibly protect, defended by interceptor systems now operating without their primary radar, restocked by a Raytheon production line that makes 37 THAAD interceptors a year.

3,200 ships are sitting idle. European gas is up 50% and climbing fast. A global recession is no longer a forecast — it’s a Wednesday. The Gulf monarchs who rented their soil to Washington are watching their ports burn and their pipelines get threatened while the Navy says it needs more time.

One missile just changed everything.

This timeline is insane and cannot be distilled in a single post. History will need several volumes.

En odgovor

  1. Če pogledamo malo širše in ne spremljamo samo zahodnih medijev,je slika precej drugačna, kot nam jo ponujajo.

    Iran je včeraj napadel 3 ključne “data centre” v UAE. Obstalo je bančništvo, bankomati, internet…

    Če gledamo posnetke iz Izraela (ki jih zahodni mediji ne prenašajo) in so nasploh redki zaradi stroge izraelske cenzure, potem v Tel Avivu in Haifi poka skoraj tako kot v Teheranu.

    Danes so američani pred Sri Lanko potopili iransko fregato, včeraj pa so iranci zadeli ameriškega rušilca med tem, ko je tankal gorivo iz spremljevalne ladje. To je že druga ameriška vojaška ladja žrtev iranskih protiladijskih raket.

    Obstajajo tudi poročila o ponovni aktivaciji iranske protiletalske obrambe, ki se je verjetno prituhnila ob prvem valu, ko je bilo nad Iranom še polno civilnih letal. Izgleda so bili aktivni predvsem pasivni radarji, ki jih je težko odkrivati, sedaj se aktivira še ostalo. Samo najbolj naivni verjamejo, da so kuvajtčani sami sestrelili 3 ameriške F15. Če seštejem vsa poročila bi bilo lahko sestreljenih do sedaj vsaj 6 ameriških letal. Vprašanje koliko jih je bilo uničenih na tleh?

    Žrtev je verjetno bistveno več ,kot jih navajajo vpletene strani. V Iranu vejetno več tisoč, na ameriško-izraelski verjetno več sto.

    Zelo verjetno so iranci premaknili tako svoje poveljniške centre, skladiščne in proizvodne kapacitete daleč pred ameriškim napadom. Upoštevajte tudi, da je normalno, da se raketam nastavi makete letal, lanserjev,…Spomnite se NATO napada na Jugoslavijo 1999. Večina zadetkov je bila na makete. Tisti, ki ste služili v SFRJ se mogoče še spomnite, da je bilo to uradna doktrina obrambe. Podobno je v Ukrajini. Ruski raketeni napadi so verjetno bistveno bolj intenzivni od ameriških, pa ukrajinska protiletalska obramba še obstaja. Tako kot američani servisirajo z satelitskimi posnetki ukrajince tako rusi in kitajci verjetno servisirajo Iran.

    Moj bivši sosed (sedaj že pokojni), bivši polkovnik JLA mi je pravil o tem kako malo so napadi NATO-ja dejansko uničili vojaške tehnike. Srbija ni kapitulirala zaradi uničenja njene vojske, temveč zaradi grožnje razsutja civilne infrastrukture in odcepitve Vojvodine (predvsem slednje).

    Iran lahko z lahkoto razsuje zalivske države. Dovolj je da napade tovarne za desalinazicijo morske vode, pa se življenje v Zalivu ustavi. Odvisnost od desalinizacije je med zalivskimi državami med 60 in 100%. Lahko preživiš teden dni brez hrane, brez vode pa ne. Potem šele pridejo na vrsto rafinerije, zelo težko branljivi objekti celo za 1.svetovno silo v protiletalski obrambi, kot je Rusija, kaj šele za zalivske države in Američane. In to v pogojih polnih magazinov in ne sedaj, ko so ti že močno načeti. Vprašnje pa je, ali Izraelce in Američane sploh kaj dosti briga kaj bo z njihovimii zavezniki?

    In vse to, preden smo sploh prišli do makroekonomskih efektov zaprtja Hormuške ožine. Z vsakim dnem bo škoda eksponencialno rasla. Koliko časa bo Trump lahko zdržal pritisk? Dokler bo mogel! Ta vojna je zanj in za Ameriko in Izrael mogoče na nek način ravno tako esencialna kot za Iran.

    Po mojem zna biti zelo pomembno, kaj bo storila Kitajska po “dveh sejah” v marcu tega leta.

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