Madžarski predsednik vlade Viktor Orban je razkril bistvo perverzne logike tega vojnega posojila EU iz skupne malhe Ukrajini. S podelitvijo vojnega kredita, imajo države EU interes za podaljšanje vojne in ustvarjanje iluzije, da Ukrajina lahko zmaga. Imajo interes za podaljšanje vojne do eluzivnega “končnega poraza Rusije”, ko bi bila Rusija kot poraženska prisiljena sprejeti vse pogoje in pristati na reparacije Ukrajini, iz katerih bi nato Ukrajina odplačala to evropsko posojilo. Pogoji posojila namreč predvidevajo ničelne obresti in poplačilo šele po koncu vojne na osnovi ruskih reparacij. Države EU imajo zato interes za podaljševanje vojne v neskončnost, sicer izgubijo teh 90 milijard evrov.

Glede na to, da Rusija po nobeni teoriji ne more izgubiti te vojne, bodo EU države naredile vse, da zminirajo mirovni proces. Da se izognejo finančni izgubi. Perverzna logika, vendar tako je. In Orban je svojo državo zaščitil pred tem, da pokrije to posojilo, ki ga Ukrajina seveda nikoli ne b mogla vrniti. Tudi slovaški in češki predsednik vlade sta naredila enako.

Kaj je naredil naš predsednik vlade na evropskem vrhu? Implicitno je povečal slovenski javni dolg za dobrih 700 mio evrov, kolikor bo odpadlo na Slovenijo od tega neodplačljivega posojila Ukrajini.

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For the first time in the history of the European Union, 24 member states have jointly granted a war loan to a country outside the Union. This is not a technical detail but a qualitative shift. The logic of a loan is clear: whoever lends money wants it back. In this case, repayment is not tied to economic growth or stabilisation, but to military victory.

For this money to ever be recovered, Russia would have to be defeated. That is not the logic of peace but the logic of war. A war loan inevitably makes its financiers interested in the continuation and escalation of the conflict, because defeat would also mean a financial loss. From this moment on, we are no longer talking merely about political or moral decisions, but about hard financial constraints that push Europe in one direction: into war.

The Brusselian war logic is therefore intensifying. It is not slowing down, not easing, but becoming institutionalised. The risk today is greater than ever before, because the continuation of the war is now coupled with a financial interest.

Hungary is deliberately not stepping onto this dangerous path. We do not take part in initiatives that make participants interested in prolonging the war. We are not looking for a fast track into war, but for an exit towards peace. This is not isolationism, but strategic sobriety. This is in Hungary’s interest and, in the long run, in Europe’s interest as well.