Kitajska kot novo sidro sveta

Ko tudi v The Economistu priznajo, kar ve ves nezahodni svet – da je Kitajska uspešno zamenjala ZDA kot “globalno sidro stabilnosti”, bo najbrž nekaj na tem. Kasno Marko na Kosovo stiže.

In fact, as President Xi Jinping plays host to over 20 presidents and prime ministers in China, a new reality is taking hold.

For Mr Xi the gathering has a higher significance. It shows, he says, that China has become a global leader and the source of stability and prosperity. The origin of uncertainty today is America, he argues, which is unleashing trade wars with almost everyone, and undermining its own network of military alliances and security partnerships.

Mr Xi’s guest list is impressive. It is one of the largest get-togethers of autocratic regimes in living memory, with Vladimir Putin of Russia, Masoud Pezeshkian of Iran and Alexander Lukashenko of Belarus in attendance. Kim Jong Un of North Korea travelled by armoured train, in his first visit to China since 2019.

Even more striking is the presence of leaders of countries that have in recent decades leaned more to the West, including Turkey, Egypt and Vietnam. Most striking is Narendra Modi, signalling India’s shift from America towards China. That follows Donald Trump’s disastrous double-fault singling India out for sky-high tariffs and embracing its enemy, Pakistan, following a conflict in May.

Mr Xi’s claim to lead a global coalition of America-sceptic powers is not as fantastical as you might think. Regarding trade, where all countries want predictability, China’s boast to be an anchor of stability now rings true—at least in relative terms. The country is already the largest goods-trading partner of most of this week’s visitors, along with another 100-odd states around the world. As the Trump administration pursues a rolling campaign of economic warfare against its trading partners, China’s sins of mercantilism and state-capitalism look minor by comparison.

There is also a new-found unity opposing sanctions, including the extraterritorial threat America uses to sever individuals, firms and countries from the dollar-based financial system and tech platforms. Once these were mostly feared by pariahs and rogue states. Mr Trump wields them with ever less restraint and without a predictable legal process or institutional framework. Russia, and increasingly China, are already moving away from dollar payments. Building a trusted, efficient alternative international system is daunting, perhaps impossible, especially for regimes without the rule of law. But more and more countries are interested in exploring options other than America’s dollar system. Even Europe is promoting a “global euro”. And fewer countries will be interested in enforcing American sanctions on its behalf.

Vir: The Economist

En odgovor

  1. Kot je pred kratkim rekel ruski komentator:

    “ZDA so za procijo multipolarnega sveta naredile več kot vse države BRICS-a skupaj.”

    Pa ni samo Trump-ova krivda, lahko gremo naprej od Biden-a do Obame. Pa še koga.

    Podobno je s fanančnim sistemom. Svetovni finančni sistem baziran na USD (in/ali EUR) je največja “krava muzara” v zgodovini človeštva. Ogromen profit ustvarjen z njim, so uničili za zelo vprašljiv efekt finančnih sankcij.

    Moraš biti popolnoma nor ali pa popolnoma zaslepljen s svojo lastno pomembnostjo, da narediš tako norost.

    Bojim se, da je za popravljanje napak že prepozno. Škoda je že neizogibna in trajna. Prihodnost pa bo samo še bolj zahtevna. Če bomo preživeli brez razpada EU, bo že uspeh. Za Slovenijo bi bilo to, razpad EU namreč, kljub vsem pomanjkljivostim EU, izjemno nevarna katastrofa.

    Upoštevanje nove realnosti bo moralo postati element planiranja vsakega večjega slovenskega podjetja.

    Žal.

    Všeč mi je

  2. Zanimiv članek v CNN:

    https://edition.cnn.com/2025/09/03/politics/trump-china-xi-putin-kim-modi-analysis

    Podobno kot v mojem gornjem komentarju.

    “Incredibly, the force doing most to undermine the West is the president of the country — the United States — that guaranteed freedom and democracy for generations.”

    In v zvezi z Indijo:

    India is “signaling to the US that ‘we have alternatives, and China can be that alternative,’” Wong told Anderson on CNN International.

    “I would say China is leveraging that opportunity.”

    “Trump’s misstep is more surprising since he jelled with Modi during his first term. But India is a deeply proud nation whose colonial history makes it especially sensitive to being bullied. It is hyper-touchy about anything to do with its arch-rival Pakistan. Such subtleties seem to escape the White House.”

    Malo pred tem je Kitajska odpravila carine za več kot 50 afriških držav. Kam neki bodo le-te usmerjale svojo trgovinsko strategijo. V Ameriko z nekaj 10% carinami ali na Kitajsko?

    Všeč mi je