Nobene resne škode po potresu na Kamčatki, kljub potresu blizu zgornje fizične meje.

Kolonialne sile osi (ZDA-VB) aktivno pripravljajo post-vojno situacijo v Ukrajini. Tudi tako, da lansirajo nekdanjega komandirja ukrajinske vojske in ljubitelja ukrajinskega nacističnega vodje Stepana Bandere, obritega in v civilu, v reviji Vogue, kot zamenjavo za neobritega in v kvazi-vojaško opravo odetega komika v funkciji predsednika države s pretečenim rokom trajanja. Po ne tako skrivnostnem srečanju v švicarskem alpskem resortu, kjer je med drugim sodeloval tudi vodja kabineta aktualnega predsednika Ukrajine s pretečenim stažem se zdi zadeva odločena. Le še volitve morajo ustrezno aranžirati, da bo rezultat pravi. Ampak s tem gospodje iz ozadja nikoli niso imeli težav.

Zabavni so ti gospodje, ki vlečejo niti v ozadju

Bela hiša je objavila “Fact Sheet: The United States and European Union Reach Massive Trade Deal“, kjer pojasnjuje, kaj točno dogovor med Trumpom in von der Leynovo zajema. Ta Fact sheet je pomemben predvsem v luči nekaterih drugačnih trditev von der Leynove. Denimo, da določene carine ne bodo veljale, ali šele po izčrpanju kvot, ali da gre zgolj za namene in ne trdne dogovore. Kaj menite, katera verzija interpretacije dogovora bo na koncu prevladala?

MAKING GLOBAL HISTORY: Yesterday, President Donald J. Trump announced a trade deal with the European Union (EU), fundamentally rebalancing the economic relationship between the world’s two largest economies.

• The deal marks a generational modernization of the transatlantic alliance and will provide Americans with unprecedented levels of market access to the European Union.
• The deal bolsters America’s economy and manufacturing capabilities. The EU will purchase $750 billion in U.S. energy and make new investments of $600 billion in the United States, all by 2028.
• Through decisive leadership and an unyielding commitment to American workers, President Trump has delivered yet another agreement that positions the United States as the world’s preeminent destination for investment, innovation, and advanced manufacturing.

REACHING A HISTORIC TRADE DEAL: President Trump’s agreement with the European Union achieves historic structural reforms and strategic commitments that will benefit American industry, workers, and national security for generations:

• The United States and European Union reached a Cooperation Agreement on Reciprocal, Fair and Balanced Trade.
• This colossal deal will enable U.S. farmers, ranchers, fishermen, and manufacturers to increase U.S. exports, expand business opportunities, and help reduce the goods trade deficit with the European Union.  The EU will remove significant tariffs, including the elimination of all EU tariffs on U.S. industrial goods exported to the EU, creating enormous opportunities for American-made and American-grown goods to compete and win in Europe. This new market access will drive growth across the American economy—fueling exports, expanding production, and allowing American businesses of all sizes to reach millions of new customers across the Atlantic.
• As part of President Trump’s strategy to establish balanced trade, the European Union will pay the United States a tariff rate of 15%, including on autos and auto parts, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors. However, the sectoral tariffs on steel, aluminum, and copper will remain unchanged—the EU will continue to pay 50% and the parties will discuss securing supply chains for these products. This new tariff regime will generate tens of billions of dollars in revenue annually and help to close the longstanding trade imbalance between the United States and Europe by encouraging local sourcing, reshoring production, and ensuring that foreign producers contribute their fair share to the American economy.

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O ruskem predsedniku Putinu si lahko mislimo, kar hočemo, toda dejstvo je, da je izjemen analitik. Februarja letos je ob evropskem odporu do predsednika Trumpa in konfliktu z njim precizno kot britev napovedal, kaj se bo zgodilo z evropskimi politiki glede odnosa do Trumpa:

»Trump bo s svojim značajem in vztrajnostjo tam dokaj hitro uvedel red. In vsi – samo poglejte, zgodilo se bo hitro – bodo poslušno sedeli pri nogah svojega gospodarja in sladko mahali z repom.«

Trump je obrisal tla z evropskimi politiki. Nakar so se postavili v pasjo držo in zdaj veselo mahajo z repki, ko se Trumpu zahoče. Kako lahko spoštujemo politike, ki se spustijo na tako abotno nizek nivo?

Priporočam članek Thomasa Fazija o škandaloznem trgovinskem fiasku von der Leynove, ki gre v srž evropskega kolektivnega problema. Če so nas evropski politiki do sedaj še nekako uspešno “farbali” z mitom, da smo v evropski integraciji skupaj močnejši, kot bi bili kot samostojne države (mimogrede, v bivši Jugoslaviji je bil natanko to eden izmed temeljnih naukov v “politički nastavi”), pa Ursulin oziroma kolektivni fiasko “pogajalskega teama” Evropske komisije zgolj brutalno razkriva mračno stran te evropske integracije. Rad imam EU, svoj prvi ekonomski model (30+ let nazaj) sem naredil za simulacijo učinkov ekonomske integracije EU, toda na žalost skupaj nismo močnejši, pač pa vsakogar izmed nas (članic EU) evropska pravila glede industrijske politike, politike državni pomoči, politike konkurence, monetarne politike, fiskalnega pravila in regulacije poslovanja itd. delajo šibkejše tako navznoter kot navzven. Ker nam jemljejo fleksibilnost v vodenju ekonomskih in drugih politik in nas omejujejo pri zasledovanju naših lastnih strateških interesov. In ta kolektivna šibkost se najbolj jasno izraža v razvojni sklerozi – nizki gospodarski rasti in trendnem razvojnem zaostajajnju za primerljivimi državami, ki niso članice EU. Ki lahko vodijo samostojne ekonomske in druge politike in so zato uspešnejše. Edino, kar je res vredno v EU, je prosta trgovina na trgu s 450 milijonov potrošnikov. Vse ostalo, kasneje navešeno na to ogrodje, nas dela šibkejše.

In še nekaj, von der Leynova (ki je morda ameriški agent, kot je bilo kar nekaj visokih evropksih politikov v preteklosti, ali pa samo nesposobna in škodljiva kreatura na čelu Evropske komisije) je s tem škandaloznim trgovinskim fiaskom zgolj pokazala, da je EU zgolj zbirka vazalnih držav, reducirana na vlogo Washingtonovega protektorata. Smo gospodarsko, vojaško, tehnološko in politično Washingtonu podrejena zbirka držav. Brez dovoljenja Washingtona ne smemo prdniti. Če v Washingtonu rečejo, da nes memo kupovati poceni ruskega plina, ampak 4-krat dražjega ameriškega, v EU to ponižno in z nasmehom naredimo. Če v Washingtonu rečejo, damoramo dati 5 % namesto 1.5 % BDP za nakup ameriškega orožja, mi to ponižno naredimo. Če v Washingtonu rečejo, damoramo brezpogojno podpirati izraelski genocid nad Palestinci, mi to ponižno naredimo. Ker je Washington naš gospodar, mi pa njegova kolonija.

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Tole spodaj je ključ škandaloznega trgovinskega fiaska von der Leynove:

A reporter rightly asks Von Der Leyen “What are the US concessions? What is the US giving up in the deal”

VDL’s reply is that there was none because “the starting point was an imbalance, a surplus on our side, and a deficit on the US side [so] we wanted to rebalance the trade relation.”

This is who we have negotiating on the EU’s behalf: someone so thoroughly captured she’s repeating almost word for word Trump’s insane rhetoric that trade deficits are somehow proof America is a victim that deserves compensation.

Ja, gre za veleizdajo interesov Evropejcev.

Nekdanji belgijski predsednik vlade Guy Verhofstadt je bil med najglasnejšimi politiki, ki so v medijih navijali za aktivno nadaljevanje vojne v Ukrajini, da se EU odreže od ruskega plina, da EU nabije carine na uvoz iz Kitajske, da EU pošilja (ameriško) orožje v Ukrajino itd. Z vsemi temi akcijami, za katere je Verhofstadt glasno navijal, je EU postala manj suverena, bolj navezana na ZDA in z manj manevrskega prostora. Do točke, ko EU nima nobenega manevrskega prostora več, saji ji ostanejo samo še ZDA. S čimer ZDA dobijo popolno moč nad v kot stisnjeno EU.

No, in ta isti Verhofstadt zdaj kriči, da gre za škandalozni trgovinski sporazum, za dizaster. Toda natanko to ti sledi, če slediš navijaškim mnenjem tega istega Verhofstadta.

Spodaj je komentar nekoga, ki je Verhofstadtu pokazal, kje so vrata.

Oh, Guy… Guy, Guy, Guy.

This is YOUR fault.

YOU enthusiastically supported cutting Europe off from Russian gas, making yourself reliant on US energy, a big point of leverage Trump now uses.

YOU supported sending all Europe’s weapons to Ukraine, making yourself even more reliant on the US for your defence, a big point of leverage Trump now uses.

YOU are the ones imposing tariffs on China and generally moving to worsen relations with Beijing, making yourself even more reliant on trade with the US.

YOU keep removing your own leverage but then expect to get the same deals as if you still had it. CAKEISM at its most stupid.

You, you, you, you. YOUR FAULT.

In February, the Russian president said of European distaste for and conflict with President Trump: “Trump, with his character and persistence, will bring order there fairly quickly. And all of them—just watch, it will happen fast—will be sitting obediently at their master’s feet and sweetly wagging their tails.”

He was right. We all saw Princess Ursula Minor and Trump announce this deal. Sitting at her master’s feet, although thankfully not wagging her tail.

You people are pathetic. Flat track bullies.

And it’s YOUR fault, Guy.

Vir: Collingwood

Richard Werner ima sicer kontroverzne poglede na nekatere stvari (kot je Covid), toda glede ustvarjanja denarja njegovi pogledi niso nič kaj kontroverzni (razen za nepoznavalce) in v skladu z dejanskim stanjem (čeprav učbeniki tega še niso absolvirali). Pred leti je o tem predaval na Finančni konferenci v Portorožu. Spodaj je zelo dober intervju z njim na to temo, o vlogi centralnih bank in o nevarnosti digitalne valute. 

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Če Evropska komisija v zameno za ta “deal” s Trumpom, ki bo Evropo stal več kot 2000 milijard evrov, ni dobila ničesar, se postavlja logično vprašanje: za koga v resnici dela Ursula von der Leyen? Za EU ali za ZDA? Čigav agent je UvdL? Kajti vsakogar z zdravim razumom ta Ursulin “deal” s Trumpom spominja na veleizdajo evropskih interesov.

If Europeans were paying attention (or being told the truth), they should be beyond appalled by this “deal”: https://bbc.com/news/articles/cx2xylk3d07o

It’s nothing more than one of the most expensive imperial tributes in history. Just a massive one-way transfer of wealth with no reciprocal benefits

The “deal” is:

• The EU now gets charged 15% tariffs on its exports to the US when they commit to charging zero tariffs on US imports in the EU
• The EU agrees to invest $600 billion in the US, for no other obvious reason than pleasing “daddy”
• The EU will “purchase hundreds of billions of dollars of American military equipment”
• The EU commits to buying 750 billion dollars worth of very expensive US LNG, specifically $250 billion for each of the next 3 years

In exchange for all these concessions and extraction of their wealth they get… nothing. I’m not even exaggerating, that IS the deal: the EU gets nothing.

This does not even remotely ressemble the type of agreements made by two equal sovereign powers. It rather looks like the type of unequal treaties that colonial powers used to impose in the 19th century – except this time, Europe is on the receiving end.

More worryingly, this sets a dynamic and a precedent: what do you think happens next from here? In the 19th century, were colonial powers content with their first unequal treaty? Of course not – one of the key rules of geopolitics is that weakness only encourages further exploitation.

Again, this is Europe’s century of humiliation.

Vir: Arnaud Bertrand