Evropska podrejenost Ameriki je bolestna. Evropski politiki bi naredili vse, da bi ji ugodili.

Kajti sicer bi morali odrasti.

Bolano.

Scott Ritter: Izrael je država, ki deluje izven mednarodnega prava. S svojim obstojem predstavllja grožnjo za mednardni mir in varnost. In tako je treba ravnati z njim.

My main takeaway from the X debate hosted by Mario Nawfal between myself and former IDF spokesperson Jonathan Conricus is that Israel is a rogue nation that operates in accordance to its own rules and priorities, in total contravention of international law.

Terms like international law are meaningless to Israel, as are institutions like the United Nations and foundational international agreements like the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty.

Israel makes no apology for its stance.

In short, the State of Israel, by the words of its former spokesperson, operates completely and totally outside the framework of global civil society.

It is an outlaw nation.

It is by its very existence a threat to international peace and security.

And should be treated as such.

Vir: Scott Ritter

Spodnji komentar Wolfganga Münchaua je edini članek, ki ga je treba prebrati glede evropske norosti, ko je EU kot kura počepnila pred Trumpom in se podredila njegovemu diktatu, da letne izdatke za obrambo dvigne na 5 % BDP. To je absolutna norost, v katero so evropski politiki spravili EU, brez da bi za to imeli demokratični mandat. Vse države EU so lani skupaj namenile za obrambo 326 milijard evrov (1.9 % BDP EU). Dvig izdatkov za obrambo na 5 % pomeni, da bi glede na BDP iz leta 2024 morali izdatke za obrambo dvigniti na 895 milijard evrov oziroma za dodatnih 569 milijard evrov letno! To v 10 letih pomeni 5,700 milijard evrov (po cenah iz 2024).

Kaj to pomeni? To pomeni, da bo bodisi treba zmanjšati izdatke za socialo in družbeno infrastrukturo (vrtci, šole, zdravstvo) ter prometno infrastrukturo (ki trenutno znesejo okrog 3 % BDP), ali pa se dodatno zadolžiti vsako leto za skoraj 570 milijard evrov. No, in tukaj nas čakajo finančni špekulanti. Evropski BDP stagnira že 3 leta, že pred tem pa je bila rast mizerna in nobene možnosti ni, da bi EU odplačala ta dodatni dolg z višjo rastjo BDP. Sploh pa, ker bo večina dodatnih izdatkov šla za nakup ameriške in izraelske vojaške opreme in tehnologij in ker so multipliaktorji izdatkov za obrambo že itak manjši od 1. Torej se bodo povečali deficiti držav in finančni špekulanti bodo napadli države EU zaradi ocene, da so ti deficiti in dodatni dolh nevzdržni. Grška kriza se je začela, ker Grčija ni bila sposobna refinancirati 20 milijard evrov dolga, zdaj pa govorimo o 570 milijardah evrov dodatnega evropskega dolga letno! Predstavljajte si veselico finančnih špekulantov, ko bodo lahko začeli navijati donose na obveznice EU držav.

Najhuje pa je, kot pravilno ugotavlja tudi Münchau, da ta številka – 5 % BDP – ni prišla na osnovi kalkulacij evropskih potreb po dodatni oborožitvi, vlaganjih v vojaške tehnologije in dodatno vojsko (kot sem to naredil lani jaz, ko sem ocenil, da bi se kumulativni skupni izdatek za obrambo evropskih držav v 10 letih moral povečati za 900 milijard evrov, pač pa jo je Trump izcuzal iz prsta. Lahko bi rekel 4 %, lahko bi rekel 7 % BDP. In države EU bi pristale na katerokoli številko, samo da zadovoljijo Trumpa.

In še več, ta dodatna vlaganja v opremo ne bodo bistveno povečale obrambne sposobnosti držav EU, saj tukaj ni nobenega načrta za skupne vojaške programe ali skupne vojaške nabave na podlagi identificiranih potreb. Pač pa gre zgolj za številke v excelu. Teh številk pa se Putinu. ni treba bati. Sploh pa, ker bodo finančni špekulanti uničili Evropo, brez da bi njemu bilo potrebno migniti s prstom.

Ali kdo med evropskimi politiki sploh še uporablja možgane? Vsaj kakšno možgansko vijugo? Ali pa gre zgolj za kasto ameriško-izraelskih podrepnikov, ki bi naredili vse, da zadovoljijo njune interese?

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V bistvu je spodnji tvit najboljši povzetek cele zgodbe, ki jo je Trump začinil z resničnostnim šovom. Vendar sta izpuščeni dve ključni stvari:

(1) Izrael je s to vojno razgalil konec svoje tehnološke in vojaške premoči, Iran pa je s to vojno dobil pravico do jedrskega orožja, in

(2) Izrael bo še naprej nadaljeval genocid v Gazi in samo Iran (s Hutijci) ga bo pri tem oviral.

Zato ne pričakujte trajnejšega premirja. Eno so resničnostni šovi, drugo pa strukturni dejavniki, ki se ne spremenijo s Trumpovimi šovi.

Izrael je glede genocida potrebno zaustaviti s popolnimi gospodarskimi sankcijami in s privedbo Netanyahuja pred tribunal ICC.

It seems a ceasefire has been achieved in what US President Trump is now calling the “Twelve-Day War” between Israel and Iran. What motivated the parties involved to accept it?

For the United States, the calculation is fairly straightforward. It viewed the war launched by Israel against Iran primarily as an instrument to improve its negotiating position vis-à-vis Tehran. If Israel succeeded, Iran would be compelled to comprehensively dismantle its nuclear program, renounce its right to enrich uranium on its own territory as guaranteed by the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), terminate its ballistic missile program, and sever links with militant movements in the region in a subsequent agreement dictated by Washington.

Washington’s objectives were further demonstrated by its bombing of Iran several days ago. Its attacks were limited to three Iranian nuclear installations, accompanied by threats of a more widespread campaign if Iran retaliated. While Trump at one point identified regime change in Tehran as a desirable outcome he never committed to it, nor instructed the US military to pursue this goal.

As expected, Trump immediately proclaimed the complete obliteration of the three nuclear sites targeted by the US air force and boasted that the Iranian nuclear program had been definitively destroyed and no longer existed. A boast better known as proclaiming victory and going home.

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For years, Israel counted on one thing: that it would always have the smartest weapons in the region. That assumption is now dead.

How Iran’s ‘strategic patience’ switched to serious deterrence

Iran’s retaliatory strikes against Israel were not conducted alone. Strategic partners Russia and China have Tehran’s back, and their role in West Asia’s conflict will only grow if the US doesn’t keep up…

Iran no longer lobs dumb rockets. It builds precision missiles guided by electro-optical seekers, inertial navigation systems, and terrain-matching algorithms.

These systems don’t rely on GPS. They don’t care if the U.S. or Israel tries to jam satellite links. Their guidance comes from inside the missile or from the terrain below.

Iran’s Fateh, Zolfaghar, and Kheibar lines now strike within meters of their target. Even mobile launchers can be pinpointed using EO sensors and BeiDou terminal correction.

BeiDou is China’s answer to GPS. It gives Iran global positioning accuracy without American satellites. Israel can’t intercept that data or shut it off.

Add to that: Russian battlefield data from Ukraine. Iran isn’t just building smarter weapons. It’s learning from live war—the kind Israel hasn’t fought since 2006.

The January 2020 strike on Al-Asad airbase was a warning shot. Iran hit U.S. targets with near-surgical accuracy. No GPS. No American retaliation.

Netanyahu keeps selling Iron Dome to the world. But Dome was built for rockets, not for swarms of kamikaze drones or cruise missiles with optical recognition.

David’s Sling and Arrow cost millions per launch. Iran’s Shahed drones cost tens of thousands. Tehran is winning the cost-per-kill war.

While Israeli defense firms sell upgrades, Iran is building doctrine. Dispersed launch units. Hardened silos. Redundant comms. Everything designed to survive first contact.

China provides optics. Russia provides tactics. Iran provides manufacturing. This isn’t Hezbollah with Katyushas. It’s a regional power with industrial-scale firepower.

Netanyahu still talks like it’s 2010. He warns of uranium enrichment while Iran prepares multi-vector saturation strikes Israel cannot absorb.

Postscript:

The age of Israeli military tech dominance is over. The warhead might say Iran, but the wiring is Chinese. The guidance is Russian-tested. And the target map is already programmed.

Vir: William Huo

Washington sanctioned Iran. Tel Aviv cheered. Beijing cashed in.

The 25-Year Agreement between China and Iran: A Continuation of Previous Policy

For decades, Netanyahu’s grand strategy relied on a seductive lie: that Iran could be boxed in, crippled, and isolated through Western pressure.

That lie collapsed the moment China stepped in. Not just as a buyer of sanctioned oil, but as a strategic partner building Iran’s escape hatch.

The 25-year Iran–China agreement wasn’t just symbolic. It meant infrastructure, joint research, defense cooperation, satellite access, and missile tech transfers.

While Israeli analysts mocked Iran’s outdated missiles, China helped modernize its guidance systems. Russia joined in by operationalizing Iranian drones in Ukraine.

Iran was sanctioned by the West. But it was bankrolled, trained, and networked by the East. The axis of the sanctioned became the proving ground for new warfighting tech.

Netanyahu saw nukes in Natanz but missed the wiring in Bandar Abbas. He warned about centrifuges while Iran built up its drone factories and satellite links.

Bibi bet that Gulf states would keep Iran cornered. Then Beijing brokered peace between Tehran and Riyadh. The Arab-Israeli realignment died in silence.

At every turn, Israel’s “strategic deterrence” turned out to be short-term theatrics dressed up as long-term doctrine.

China didn’t just neutralize sanctions. It gave Iran the technology, financing, and trade routes to turn survival into leverage.

By the time Bibi realized this wasn’t a containment game but a continental realignment, Iran was already part of BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.

Postscript:

The sanctions regime was supposed to crush Iran. Instead, it forced Tehran to go east. Now it’s integrated into a rising order while Israel watches its margin of error disappear.

Vir: William Huo

Držite Donalda za besedo in glejte na uro, če sta se Izrael in Iran res prenehala raketirati v 12-iu urah po tem Donaldovem tvitu. In če sta, bo Iran dobil jedrske bombe, Donald Nobelovo nagrado, Izrael pa bo malce manj agresiven navzven.