Najprej standardni zahodni narativ, prevzet iz CNN:
According to the ISIS think tank, “Iran can convert its current stock of 60 percent enriched uranium into 233 kg of weapon-grade uranium in three weeks at the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant,” enough for nine nuclear weapons.
That is why Fordow is a major focus of Israel’s attempts to degrade and destroy Iran’s nuclear program. But is it even feasible?
The US is the only country that possesses the kind of bomb required to strike Iran’s Fordow nuclear site, Israel’s ambassador to the US, Yechiel Leiter, said in an interview with Merit TV on Monday.
“For Fordow to be taken out by a bomb from the sky, the only country in the world that has that bomb is the United States. And that’s a decision the United States has to take, whether or not it chooses to actually pursue that course,” Leiter said. But, he added, that wasn’t the only option: “There are other ways of dealing with Fordow.”
Destroying Fordow from the air would be almost impossible for Israel, according to a March report from the UK-based Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank and would require significant firepower and assistance from the United States.
It would not even be reachable by the US’ GBU-57 massive ordnance penetrator bombs, which only reach about 60 meters deep, according to the RUSI report. And the GBU-57 can only be delivered by US Air Force B-2 stealth bombers, something Israel doesn’t have – even if the US would give it the bombs.
“Even the GBU-57/B would likely require multiple impacts at the same aiming point to have a good chance of penetrating the facility,” said the report.
Other analysts agree, saying, if the US were to try to hit Fordow, it probably couldn’t be done with one bomb.
Alternativni pogled glede možnosti ali ameriške GBU-57 bombe lahko zares uničijo iranske kapacitete za bogatenje urana:
People from President Trump to misinformed dopes on X believe the US GBU-57 “Bunker Buster” bomb can destroy deep fortified tunnel systems in Iranian mountainsides.
This is utter nonsense.
They don’t understand that these are gravity bombs, produced in vanishingly small numbers (~25), with very limited penetration capability (~50 m).
You wanna fly lumbering B-2 bombers into the heart of Iranian defenses in a foolhardy attempt to deliver one of these bombs? Good luck, fools. You’ll need it.
Vir: Will Schryver
Exactly! It’s utter nonsense.
Natanz is buried beneath 650 meters of solid granite. Fordow is even deeper.
Both are reinforced with Ultra-High Performance Concrete engineered to absorb kinetic impact,..not deflect it.
The GBU-57 bunker buster everyone’s hyping, maxes out around 60 meters of standard concrete under ideal conditions.
Against UHPC, it would struggle to get through more than 10 to 15 meters.
Now stack over 1,700 meters of solid granite mountain on top, with the facility buried 650 meters deep and reinforced with UHPC shielding, and you’d have better luck trying to stab a tank with a butter knife.
Unless Trump’s secretly rolling out the Death Star, he’s not touching Iran’s nuclear core, no matter how many times he plays Top Gun in the Situation Room.
Vir: Jeff_T
No, seveda obstajajo načini, da ZDA uničijo iranski jedrski program. In glavni način je seveda “regime change”. Torej ameriški napad na Iran, podoben napadu na Irak, popolna zmaga nad 90-milijonsko državo, zamenjava vodstva in nato uničenje teh jedrskih kapacitet.
In ZDA so se očitno odločile za slednjo pot. Kar pa ne pomeni, da ne bodo prej poskušale tudi z GBU-57 bombami.
Ameriški napad na Iran, podoben napadu na Irak – odpade!
Ne Amerika niti koalicija voljnih ne more ponoviti iraške zgodbe. Razlogov za to je veliko. Eden od teh je, da kdor napade, ne more pripraviti svoje vojske v tako stanje, kot je bilo pred iraško vojno. Tedaj so “vsi” (javno mnenje) verjeli, da so zahteve koalicije voljnih utemeljene, no – vsaj petežno. S političnega, etičnega in vojaškega vidika. Niti eden od teh opornih podlag za napad sedaj ni izpolnjen. Ljudje se bodo pač spomnili, vsaj nekaj od teh in vsaj nekateri, na vseh nivojih. Ampak za spodnesti vojaško zmago je že to preveč.
Ameriki pride v poštev le nekaj takega kot ekonomska blokada, kjer pa ima že sama dovolj novih težav (prodaja državnih obveznic ipd.)
Všeč mi jeVšeč mi je