Dodaten apekt k moji današnji kolumni v Dnevniku glede razlogov za Trumpovo zmago. Kratek odgovor je, ker so demokrati s premikom ostro v levo izgubili sredinske volilce. Ta premik se dogaja že celo prejšnje desetletje, še posebej pa po prvi izvolitvi Trumpa (2016). Tista izvolitev Trumpa ni radikalizirala desnice, pač pa levico. Demokrati so zblazneli radikalno v levo, medtem ko je ideologija volilcev ostala enaka.

Spodaj je nekaj misli iz odličnega članka v Financial Timesu.

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In April 2022, Elon Musk tweeted a cartoon made by US evolutionary biologist Colin Wright. The image shows a stick figure representing Wright, a self-described “centre-left liberal”, becoming politically stranded as the American left shifts ever further leftward during the 2010s, leaving him closer to the right despite his ideology not changing. The graphic was mocked at the time. But recent events suggest it may have a grain of truth to it.

To be clear: the main reason the Democrats lost the US election is that inflation kills political incumbents. But that doesn’t mean there are not other lessons in the results.

Data suggests the Democrats lost ground with moderates, while holding steady among progressives. Charges that racism propelled voters to Donald Trump are at odds with the rightward swing among Black and Hispanic voters, and with a raft of data showing that racial prejudice is in steady decline among Americans of all political stripes.

Instead, the data shows Democrats taking a sharp turn leftward on social issues over the past decade. This has distanced them from the median voter, just as Wright’s cartoon depicted. We see this not only in Democratic voters’ self-reported ideology, but in their views on issues including immigration and whether or not minorities need extra help to succeed in society. Notably, the shift began in 2016. This suggests that Trump’s election radicalised the left, not the right.

Vir: John Burn-Murdoch, Financial Times