"The story being crafted through friendly journalists is that Biden tried his best but his effort to bring the war to an end was ultimately frustrated by Netanyahu’s shenanigans. But Biden wasn’t hoodwinked He chose this path, and stayed on it" @mattduss https://t.co/CXZbY1N7Mw
— Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze) October 7, 2024
Monthly Archives: oktober 2024
Nemška mavrična koalicija je uničila nemško gospodarstvo in zraven še okolje
Nemška industrija je v prostem padu. In ker Nemčija predstavlja 27 % v industrijski proizvodnji EU, hkrati pa je močno dobaviteljsko povezana z ostalimi članicami, s tem s seboj v globino vleče celo evrsko območje.
Nemčiji se po napovedi IfW obeta recesija tudi v letošnjem letu:
The Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) predicts a 0.1% decline in Germany’s GDP this year. This is stated in its new review.
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Thus, the recession may be observed for the second year in a row. In 2023, the German economy shrank by 0.3%.
Nemška mavrična koalicija je pod vplivom zmešanih zelenih zaprla še zadnje jedrske elektrarne, kar je (1) podražilo električno energijo, (2) povzročilo uvozno odvisnost Nemčije pri električni energiji in (3) negativno vplivalo na okolje, saj se v Nemčiji zaradi kurjenja premoga in plina za proizvodnjo elektrike ogljična intenzivnost proizvodnje elektrike bistveno počasneje zmanjšuje kot v ostalih članicah EU, ki se niso šle nemškega eksperimenta.
Nauk te zgodbe: Pazite, koga volite! Če volite zmešane zelene marksiste, ste lahko jutri brez službe in brez prihodnosti. In če gredo ti zeleni marksisti v posteljo z anglosaksonskimi neokonzervativci, se lahko jutri znajdte v regionalni ali celo svetovni vojni. In tudi vaši otroci bodo brez prihodnosti.
Nemški model, da bi spravili Nato v Ukrajino, je brezzobi tiger
V zadnjem letu in četrt, ko je postalo jasno, da ukrajinska protiofenziva nima možnosti za uspeh, da bo Rusija zmagala v tej vojni izčrpavanja in da Ukrajina nikoli ne bo povrnila svojih meja iz leta 1991, so se zahodni diplomati intenzivno ukvarjali s planom B. Torej, kako kljub ukrajinskemu porazu in prisotnosti Rusije na ozemlju Ukrajine v slednjo vseeno pripeljali Nato. Kajti to je bil, ob izčrpavanju Rusije, glavni namen te nesmiselne vojne (ne to, da Ukrajina postane del Nata, pač pa da Nato postavi svoje vojaške baze v Ukrajini). No, in pri tem so se ogreli za idejo “nemškega modela”, o čemer je v zadnjih dneh večkrat pisal Financial Times. Nemčija je bila po drugi svetovni vojni razdeljena na zahodno (po združitvi treh con) in vzhodno Nemčijo. Kljub temu, da je bila razdeljena in vzhodna Nemčija pod sovjetsko okupacijo, je zahodna Nemčija postala članica Nata in gostiteljica ameriških vojaških baz, vključno z jedrskim orožjem.
Po spodletelem planu A si nekateri zahodni diplomati takšen model zdaj obetajo za Ukrajino. In to naj bi bil del “zmagovalnega načrta”, ki ga želi prodati nekdanji ukrajinski predsednik Zelenski. Vendar ima ta model nekaj, milo rečeno, bistvenih pomanjkljivosti, zaradi česar je neizvedljiv v praksi.
Prvič, s tem načrtom bi se morala strinjati Rusija. Rusijo bi morali nekako prepričati, da se sploh začne pogajati in da pristane na takšen načrt. Kar je absurd. Rusija je začela vojno v Ukrajini prav z razlogom, da Nato ne pride v Ukrajino in da ostane Ukrajina nevtralna. Zakaj bi Rusija zdaj glede tega nenadoma spremenila svoje stališče? Rusija v tej vojni zmaguje in zahodne države nimajo ničesar, s čimer bi jo lahko zaustavile. Nimajo ne vojaških in ne ekonomskih vzvodov, da bi Rusiji preprečile popolno zmago v Ukrajini. Nimajo niti več ideje, kako bi to izvedle. Jedrskega spopada z Rusijo si ne upajo sprovocirati.
Drugič, če se Rusija s tem načrtom ne strinja, bi zahodne države morda lahko poskusile z enostransko vključitvijo “nezasedenega dela Ukrajine” v Nato. Pri tem pa trčijo na ključen problem. Nemške meje po 2. svetovni vojni so bile določene, obe strani sta se z njimi strinjali in bile so mednarodno priznane – Zvezna republika Nemčija in Nemška demokratična republika sta imeli mednarodno entiteto. Ukrajinske meje niso določene. In ne bodo, dokler Rusija ne preneha s svojimi vojaškimi opracijami in dokler ne pride do mirovnega sporazuma. To pomeni, da članice Nata Ukrajini ne morejo dati formalnih varnostnih zagotovil, enakovrednih tistim, ki jih imajo polnopravne članice Nata. Če meja ni določena in se iz dneva v dan spreminja, ni mogoče določiti, v kateri točki se aktivira člen 5 sporazuma Nata (o pomoči članici v primeru zunanje agresije).
Nemški model, da bi spravili Nato v Ukrajino, je zato brezzobi tiger. Z njim se poigravajo evropski diplomati, medtem ko so v Washingtonu zadržani.
Apologeti genocida: Tudi liberalni mediji so v postelji z Izraelom
I can’t put this strongly enough. Howard Jacobson’s article in today’s Observer newspaper may be one the vilest pieces of journalism published in Britain in living memory, arguing that any reporting of Israel’s documented slaughter of many thousands of Palestinian children in Gaza is a “blood libel” and antisemitic. It is pure genocide apologism.
But far worse is the fact that the Guardian Media Group signed off his column. This isn’t the work of one Zionist loon. A whole army of journalists brought it to print.
And note: Jacobson, odious as he is, isn’t responsible for the choice of photo. That is entirely down to the Observer newsroom.
I worked at both the Guardian and the Observer, its Sunday sister paper, for many years. The comment editor, the photo editor, the revise sub-editor, the Observer’s chief editor and all the section heads would have approved not only Jacobson’s text but that photo too.
Neil Bush o paranoji ameriškega hegemona glede Kitajske
Neil Bush, ameriški poslovnež in filantrop (sicer pa četrti sin Georgea Busha starejšega in brat zloglasnega Georgea Busha mlajšega) je v intervjuju navrgel nekaj dejstev o odnosih med ZDA in Kitajsko, ki so objektivnim opazovalcem dokaj samoumevne. Njegove izjave so zanimive predvsem zaradi njegovega pedigreja, ker s tem rušijo moč uradne ameriške narative glede Kitajske.
The Chinese system works for China
He says, that after coming to the country 150 times in the past 50 years, he’s “come to the conclusion, and most Americans probably can’t even tolerate that I will say this, that the Chinese system has worked for China. The Chinese system has been so beneficial to hundreds of millions of people.”
The key reason for the US’s hostility to China is simply because China is rising and the US makes up paranoic “false narratives” about it
“[In] the book ‘Destined for War’ a professor from Harvard did a study of 16 cases where an established power like the United States is the strongest power faces a rising power. In today’s world China is a rising power and in 12 of the 16 cases it ended up in war over the past 600 years. And the reason is that a rising power and an established power end up in wars is because the established power feels threatened by the rise and they make up these claims that the rising power wants to take over and be the most powerful force on the earth, or the rising power is gonna take over my economy… They come up with false narratives. There are many false narratives being planted right now and I think it’s directly related to China’s rise and the perceived threat of that rise to our standard of living, to our way of life, to our national security. I just don’t I don’t believe that the rise represents a threat to America so I’m so I’m in a different camp than 90% of the American people right now and I agree with you that if more people could come [to China] they could make their own judgment and not listen to the propaganda and the demagoguery of the political elite in America that make China out to be some kind of devil.”
Izraelski genocid nad Palestinci se je začel leta 1948 z Nakbo
Za Palestince Nakba predstavlja največjo kolektivno travmo, travmo vseh travm, takrat se je začel izraelski genocid nad njimi. Leta 1947 je bil z deklaracijo OZN na palestinskem ozemlju ustanovljen Izrael, leta 1948 pa so izraelska vojska in paravojaške skupine nasilno pregnale 750,000 Palestincev (polovica palestinskega prebivalstva in 80 % prebivalcev nove države Izrael) iz njihovih domov, z njihove zemlje v begunstvo. Izraelci so zradirali 11 arabskih mest in 500 vasi in zastrupili vodnjake, da se Palestinci ne bi mogli več vrniti. Kdor se je vrnil, je bil ubit ali pregnan.
Po Nakbi 1948 je sledila Naksa 1967, ko so Izraelci sistematično pregnali še ostalih nekaj sto tisoč Palestincev in jih pregnali v Jordanijo, preostale pa stisnili v dve okupirani enklavi – Gazo in Zahodni breg.
Nakba je izraelski izvirni greh. Kar se danes dogaja v Gazi in Zahodnem bregu, je zgolj nadaljevanje popolnega etničnega čiščenja, ki se je začelo z Nakbo in nadaljevalo z Nakso.
Poklon Rogerju Watersu (ex Pink Floyd) v spodnjem intervjuju, ki je ena redkih javnih osebnosti na zahodu, ki si upa to javno povedati.
Pod njim pa je še kratek povzetek iz Wikipedije (ja, kljub pristranskosti in vplivu ameriških in izraelskih obveščevalnih služb na njene vsebine je tekst o Nakbi še vedno travmatično branje; precej boljših in bolj objektivnih zgodovinskih tekstov je o Nakbi, vendar namerno objavljam najbolj izraelsko pristranskega).
The Nakba (Arabic: النَّكْبَة, romanized: an-Nakba, lit. ‘the catastrophe’) is the ethnic cleansing[2] of Palestinian Arabs through their violent displacement and dispossession of land, property, and belongings, along with the destruction of their society and the suppression of their culture, identity, political rights, and national aspirations.[3] The term is used to describe the events of the 1948 Palestine war in Mandatory Palestine as well as the ongoing persecution and displacement of Palestinians by Israel.[4] As a whole, it covers the fracturing of Palestinian society and the long-running rejection of the right of return for Palestinian refugees and their descendants.[5][6]
During the foundational events of the Nakba in 1948, approximately half of Palestine’s predominantly Arab population, or around 750,000 people,[7] were expelled from their homes or made to flee through various violent means, at first by Zionist paramilitaries, and after the establishment of the State of Israel, by its military. Dozens of massacres targeted Palestinian Arabs and over 500 Arab-majority towns, villages, and urban neighborhoods were depopulated,[8] with many of these being either completely destroyed or repopulated by Jews and given new Hebrew names. Israel employed biological warfare against Palestinians by poisoning village wells. By the end of the war, 78% of the total land area of the former Mandatory Palestine was controlled by Israel.
Izrael svojo priložnost vidi v vojni, ne v miru
Since the brutal Hamas attack on October 7 nearly a year ago, Israel has consistently demonstrated a willingness to take greater risks in its fight against Hamas’s regional backers, including Iran and Hezbollah. Over the last year, Israel has targeted leaders in both Hezbollah and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), systematically killing hundreds of top operatives. It steadily degraded Hezbollah and Iran, judging that although both would maintain low-level conflict, neither wanted a full-scale war with Israel. Domestic dynamics encouraged Israel’s operations, too. Many Israelis feel that a return to the pre–October 7 status quo would be unacceptable. A key lesson from the attacks was that Israel could no longer afford merely to manage and contain the threats on its borders. It would need decisive military wins—regardless of the costs.
Israeli leaders thus became highly motivated to restore the country’s shattered deterrence and the aura of invincibility punctured by Hamas’s attack. Unable to definitively defeat Hamas in Gaza, Israel may see more opportunity in the fight against Hezbollah and Iran. Its military has spent years preparing for a fight on the northern front and, as recent Israeli attacks in Iran and Lebanon have demonstrated, its intelligence services have extensively penetrated both Iranian and Hezbollah networks.
In the current escalatory environment, U.S. and international efforts to encourage a diplomatic settlement to the war in Lebanon or Gaza are unlikely to succeed, even as calls for a cease-fire have become still more urgent in the face of the new direct confrontation between Israel and Iran. But at the moment Israel is not seeking a diplomatic off-ramp; it is looking for total victory. Adding to the strategic calculations are political considerations that link Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s political survival to continued wars that seem only to boost his popularity and the stability of his governing coalition.
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After a year of war, there is a real possibility of no better “day after” in Gaza or the rest of the region. Talk in Washington of capitalizing on Nasrallah’s death and Iran’s weakness to “reshape” the Middle East harks back to the misguided beliefs that drove the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003 to disastrous effect. Continued military conflict harms the region, and it harms U.S. interests. Without a change in the current Israeli government, Israel and its neighbors could be moving toward a very different day after: Israeli reoccupation of Gaza and potentially even of southern Lebanon, as well as reinforced control over, if not annexation of, the West Bank. This is a recipe not for victory but for perpetual war.
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The other potential path toward full-scale war was a change in strategic calculus—that one of the powers involved would see greater value in waging a war than in avoiding one. This is the mindset that led Israel to scale up its attack on Hezbollah in Lebanon. Although Iran and Hezbollah appeared to believe that a low-grade conflict with Israel was manageable as long as Israel was preoccupied in Gaza, Israel’s calculus had already shifted as its attention increasingly turned north during the summer.
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Israel has been willing to go to great lengths to weaken Hezbollah and Iran, and it has already made significant strides on those fronts. But the war in Gaza and increased militarization in the West Bank raises the question of how far Israel is prepared to go in the Palestinian territories. The past year suggests that Netanyahu’s government is aiming for nothing less than the creation of a new reality on all of Israel’s borders.
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If these operations continue, Israel could, by design or by default, end up reoccupying parts or all of Gaza, the West Bank, and even southern Lebanon. Needless to say, this is a far darker day after than many envisioned. But it is a real possibility with potentially dire repercussions. Reoccupations would threaten Israel’s longer-term security, quash Palestinian aspirations for independence and dignity, and destabilize the entire region.
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Such an endgame appears more likely by the day. But it cannot bring the long-term security Israel seeks. Instead, it would leave Israel locked in a cycle of war and global isolation, dragging the United States with it.
Zakaj je Nemčija glasovala proti uvedbi carin na uvoz kitajskih električnih avtomobilov?
Včeraj so članice EU (z 10 glasovi za, 12 vzdržanimi in 5 proti) sprejele ukrep o uvedbi 45 % carin na uvoz kitajskih električnih avtomobilov. Nemčija je glasovala proti (tudi Slovenija, Slovaška, Madžarska in Malta). Ukrep je bil kljub temu sprejet. Zakaj je Nemčija kot avtomobilska velesila glasovala proti? Preprosto, ker bodo te carine prizadele nemška podjetja. Prvič, podražili se bodo električni avtomobili, ki jih nemška podjetja izdelujejo na Kitajskem in se nato uvažajo v Evropo.
Drugič, Kitajska bo uvedla povračilne ukrepe. Kitajska je pri tem subtilna – ker kontrolira ne samo proizvodnjo vseh “čistih tehnologij” (njen globalni delež proizvodnje vseh komponent za sončne in vetrne elektrarne in elektrolizerje znaša med 67 in 80 %), ampak tudi veliko večino kritičnih in strateških materialov, potrebnih za proizvodnjo sodobnih proizvodov visoke tehnologije (pri redkih zemljah celo 100 %), lahko samo prepove izvoz teh materialov v Evropo. Na prvo napoved Evropske komisije o uvedbi carin se je kitajska vlada takrat odzvala s prepovedjo izvoza germanija in galija.
In tretjič, carine ne bodo rešile nekonkurenčnosti evropske avtomobilske industrije pri e-avtomobilih. Evropske cene energije so zaradi napačne energetske politike in zaradi vojne v Ukrajini (ter pohlepnih ameriških ponudnikov utekočinjenega zemeljskega plina) previsoke, hkrati so evropska podjetja zaspala pri razvoju in uvajanju proizvodnje baterij in električnih avtomobilov in na koncu skorajda vse prenesla v Kitajsko. Carine bodo, kot vam pokaže vsak učbenik mednarodne ekonomije in življenjska praksa, samo dvignile cene električnih avtomobilov v Evropi. S tem pa se bo stopnja elektrifikacije prometa samo upočasnila.
Ampak, če modro vodstvo Evropske komisije in “voditelji” nekaterih EU držav mislijo, da so bolj pametni… Mene električni avtomobili ne zanimajo niti pod razno in se ne sekiram.
Spodaj je dober komentar Arnauda Bertranda.
J’Accuse: Zahodni mediji so sokrivi za masaker v Gazi in Libanonu
Poročanje Karmen Švegl iz Bližnjega vzhoda je simptom odnosa zahodnih medijev do leto dni trajajočega izraelskega genocida v Gazi, izraelskega masakra v Libanonu in velike regionalne vojne, ki se po izraelsko-ameriških notah kuha na Bližnjem vzhodu. Zahodni mediji so v postelji z Izraelom in ZDA.
The US and Iran are on the brink of war. Israel and the United States are planning a major attack on Iran, which according to Biden himself could entail strikes on Iranian oil sites. Iran is now saying that its days of “individual self-restraint” are over, and it is prepared to go all-in if the US and Israel keep ramping up escalations.
The IDF continues to slaughter civilians in Lebanon with US-backed airstrikes as news surfaces that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah had agreed to a 21-day ceasefire with Israel shortly before Israel assassinated him. The US reportedly knew about the deal.
And of course Israel is still killing dozens of civilians a day in its daily massacres in Gaza. Ninety-nine American healthcare workers who volunteered in the enclave have published an open letter to their president detailing the horrors that they have witnessed, and estimating the current death toll from this onslaught is over 118,908.
And at this juncture in history, I think it would be good for us to give the western press their due credit for helping to take us here by manufacturing consent for the political environment in which such western-supported atrocities are possible.
All the mass media personnel who’ve been lying and manipulating for Israel helped pave the way to this.
All the pundits and reporters who’ve been assigning far more weight to the Israeli deaths on October 7 than to the vastly greater number of Arab deaths before and since.
All the editors who’ve been running “Gaza child walks into bullet” passive-language headlines designed to mask Israel’s responsibility for the killings.
DAMIJAN blog 
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