Da je bil švicarski “Vrh o miru v Ukrajini”, bolj kot ne politična polomija, je praktično konsenz v zahodnih medijih:

• Russia’s ghost loomed over Ukraine peace summit – Politico.eu
• In Ukraine, soldiers and civilians shrug off Zelensky’s summit – AFP
• Ukraine’s Global Diplomatic Flurry Fails to Outflank Russia (archived) – WSJ
• Significant support for Ukraine at peace summit – but key nations hesitate – Sky News
• India opts out of Ukraine declaration at Swiss peace summit as Russia stays away – India Today
• Major Ukraine summit ends with fresh plea for peace but key powers spurn final agreement – CNN
• Disappointing end to Ukraine summit as allies agree to watered-down peace declaration – Telegraph

Ker je bilo že mesece pred konferenco jasno, da ne bo mogoče dobiti širokega političnega konsenza za trde sklepe, so države v Švico večinoma poslale politične drugokategornike (vključno z ZDA), ki so nato sprejeli močno razvodenele in povsem benigne sklepe. Dejansko načelne humanitarne narave.

Da se bo to zgodilo in da se je Zelenski s to “mirovno konferenco” ujel v lastno past, je pred desetimi dnevik pisala že ukrajinska Evropska Pravda na podlagi vpogleda v zaključni memorandum.

Še huje s političnega in piarovskega vidika pa je, da so na konferenci vsi pogrešali Rusijo oziroma da je dozorelo politično spoznanje, da se brez Rusije ne morejo pogovarjati o koncu vojne in miru v Ukrajini. Kar je že v naslovu (Russia’s ghost loomed over Ukraine peace summit) priznal tudi ameriški provladni medijski satelit v Evropi Politico:

But Russia’s ghost loomed over the summit, after Russian President Vladimir Putin’s ultimatum of a peace proposal the day before the summit started. While that was quickly rejected by Ukraine and others, it reinforced the reality that the Kremlin eventually will have to be dealt with.

Iz političnega vidika je ruski predsednik Putin naredil politično genialno potezo, ko je en dan pred švicarsko konferenco javno objavil svoj predlog za vojno premirje, s čimer je zakoličil pogoje za konec vojne in pogovore o mirovnem sporazumu ter “mirovni konferenci” brez Rusije vzel smisel. Putin je svojo simultanko odigral že v letu in pol pred tem, ko je na svojo stran pridobil večino azijskih, afriških in južnoameriških držav. Nobena izmed velikih BRICS držav sklepov švicarske “mirovne konference” ni podprla, Kitajska pa jo je ignorirala kot brezpredmetno. Memorandum o Ukrajini je sprejelo 77 držav (od 160 povabljenih in od 92 držav, ki so se odzvale), ki pa predstavljajo le 20 % svetovnega prebivalstva (za boljšo predstavo sodobne geopolitične delitve v spodnji sliki posivite geografsko ogromno Grenlandijo (56 tisoč preb.) in tri geografsko ogromne severne kanadske province (Yukon, Northwest Territories, Nunavut s skupaj 120 tisoč preb.).

No, in potem pridemo do zanimivega paradoksa, ki je v javnosti praktično neznan. In sicer, da so na švicarski “mirovni konferenci” dejansko sprejeli 6 najbolj benignih izmed 12 načelnih predlogov iz mirovnega predloga, ki ga je pred 16 meseci predstavila Kitajska. Arnaud Bertrand:

Genuinely astonishing how the final communiqué of Swiss “Summit on Peace in Ukraine” s basically 6 out of the 12 points of China’s February 2023 “Peace plan” , and only that.

In short it’s the Chinese peace plan, without:

• A call for a cessation of hostilities
• A call to resume peace talks. The Swiss communiqué does mentions that signatories will “undertake concrete steps in the future” for talks with “the representatives of all parties”, but only “in the above-mentioned areas” (so only wrt to nuclear safety, food safety and POW exchange, i.e. NOT for the purpose of peace)
• A call to “abandon the Cold War mentality” which the Chinese plan had, meaning the establishment of a sustainable security architecture in Europe that isn’t done at the expense of any party and respects everyone’s “security interests”. Meaning an attempt to solve the root cause of the war.
• A call to resolve the humanitarian crisis. Which is bizarre because you’d think it’d be something everyone could agree on…
• An agreement to remove “unilateral sanctions”
• An agreement to support post-conflict reconstruction, which also is bizarre because again it’s something everyone could presumably have agreed on…

The points it keeps from the Chinese peace plan are:

• Point 1: To base the resolution of the conflict on the UN Charter, including the principles of respect for the territorial integrity and sovereignty of all states (which many people weren’t aware was part of the Chinese peace plan)…
• Point 6: Asking that all prisoners of war and detainees should be released
• Points 7 & 8: Calling for nuclear plants to be safe and stating that nuclear weapons shouldn’t be used
• Points 9 & 11: Asking that food security and supply chains be maintained and not be weaponized

And that’s almost 1 year and a half AFTER the Chinese Peace Plan, which the West rejected immediately out of hand and ironically criticized as being “vague” even though the outcome of this Swiss summit is now far vaguer… In fact it’s so vague it removed all the aspects of the Chinese plan that actually proposed a path to a sustainable peace…

Vir: Arnaud Bertrand

No, kitajski predlog so pred 16 meseci zahodni politiki označili kot “nejasne” in zgolj “načelne”.

Karma…