Še ena dobra, zelo kvalificirana, in tokrat ameriška analiza o vojni med Izraealom in Iranom, ki je ni bilo in kako je ta “izmenjava raket” spremenila geopolitična razmerja v regiji.

This is undoubtedly the best analysis I’ve heard to date of the Iran strike on Israel. It’s long-ish but absolutely worth listening to. The man speaking is Chas Freeman, former Assistant Secretary of Defense and, very relevant to the topic, former US Ambassador to Saudi Arabia. He’s interviewed by @PLottaz, an Associate Professor at Kyoto University in Japan.

What Freeman argues is that Iran’s strike “changes all the rules of the game in the Middle-East”. The biggest deal for him is that “the Saudis, the Emiratis and others informed the United States that they would not permit American operations against Iran from their territory and Iran warned those states that if they did, they would become targets. So in a sense, Iran has achieved the neutralization of American forces in the Persian gulf that it long sought. So from a tactical military point of view it was a ‘nothing burger’ – nobody was killed, nobody was damaged – […] but from a strategic point of view, from a soft power point of view, it was a huge success. Iran accomplished its objective and it left Israel with an intolerable dilemma. Israel cannot continue to behave as though it can act with impunity.”