V novi knjigi “The Tragedy of the European Union: Disintegration or Revival?” (dejansko naboru intervjujev), ki bo izšla v torek 11. marca 2014, George Soros razmišlja o prihodnosti EU in evro območja. Pri čemer ne more mimo nemške “hinavske” in “pravičniške” politike. Po njegovem evro območje v takšnem aranžmaju ne more obstati. Po njegovem je evro transformiral EU kot prostovoljno zvezo enakovrednih držav v zvezo, ki ni več prostovoljna in kjer je Nemčija voditelj. Soros je skeptičen do sposobnosti evro območja, da se transformira in s tem preživi. Za evro območje bi bilo daleč najboljše, če bi Nemčija izstopila. Toda s tem bi prišlo do depreciacije evra na eni in apreciacije nemške marke na drugi strani, kar bi izničilo nemško konkurenčnost. Zato Nemčija za takšno rešitev seveda ni zainteresirana.
Nekaj poudarkov iz knjige, kot jih je zabeležil britanski Telegraph:
Mr Soros also says he believes the single currency has transformed the European Union from a voluntary association of equal states to one which is now no longer voluntary and has Germany as its leader.
“Germany’s tone, is sometimes self-righteous and even hypocritical, Mr Soros says. “In 2003 Germany was among the first countries to break the eurozone rules.
“In German, the word Schuld has a double meaning (both “blame” and “debt”). So it is natural to blame the debtor countries for their own misfortunes.
…
“But with the passage of time , Germany may become hated and resisted as an exploiter, and the European Union may dissolve in arimony.
“Germany is raising the minimum wage and pensions and permitting earlier retirement, just when it tells other countries to do the opposite.”
The German economy at the region’s heart could also be a weakness, Mr Soros says.
“What was successful in Germany before the crisis will not be successful as a prescription for the rest of Europe in the years ahead,” he argues in the book.
The prospect of Germany leaving the eurozone, Mr Soros believes, is serious, and it would have implications as the euro would depreciate sharply and the deutsche mark would increase in value. Germany would then find out how painful it is to have an overvalued currency, the book says.
Mr Soros also outlines how the problems that caused the eurozone economic crisis remain largely unresolved.
“The banking sector is acting as a parasite on the real economy,” he said.
“The profitability of the finance industry has been excessive. For a while 35pc of all corporate profits in the United Kingdom and the United States came from the financial sector. That’s absurd.
DAMIJAN blog 